31 Aug 2016, 11:27am by Scott Kacsmar
To win a Super Bowl, do you want a team with balance, or one that is dominant on one side of the ball? Part I of Scott Kacsmar's study looks at what the DVOA era tells us about building Super Bowl teams. Having a dominant unit and a track record of success is crucial, but has that always been true?
27 Aug 2016, 02:53pm by Scott Kacsmar
Tony Romo's back injury in Thursday night's preseason game is expected to cost the Dallas quarterback 6-10 weeks.
50 comments, Last at 30 Aug 2016, 11:00am by Mike B. In Va
23 Aug 2016, 05:34pm by Scott Kacsmar
You don't see many fifth-round rookie wideouts with real expectations, but Tajae Sharpe is one. Tennessee's poor history of developing wideouts has led to a rare opportunity that Sharpe can seize this season.
4 comments, Last at 25 Aug 2016, 4:44pm by Jerry
17 Aug 2016, 07:57pm by Scott Kacsmar
Is Derek Carr a franchise QB or a young player trying to find his way? Scott Kacsmar sees his career as a case study for how fans value fantasy football vs. reality, and the divide between stats and film study.
110 comments, Last at 27 Aug 2016, 12:50pm by Sleet
16 Aug 2016, 09:38pm by Scott Kacsmar
Scott Kacsmar made his annual appearance on Greg Rasheed's The Root and Roots podcast to talk about Football Outsiders Almanac 2016. Topics include: why we expect the Broncos to regress to .500, the difficulty of sustaining a great defense over a great offense, surprise teams in 2016 and the favorites in each division heading into the season.
15 Aug 2016, 03:09pm by Scott Kacsmar
Amari Cooper finished with the 11th-most receiving yards by a rookie in NFL history, but is catching the ball his biggest weakness? Scott Kacsmar finds out just how many drops he had and looks at Cooper's catch radius.
5 comments, Last at 16 Aug 2016, 2:47pm by fb29
15 Aug 2016, 08:34am by Scott Kacsmar
Last week at ESPN Insider, we looked at the top 10 most accurate passers of 2015 in C%+ (derived from drop-adjusted passing plus-minus). This week we looked at six passers among the bottom 10, including Derek Carr, Aaron Rodgers and Andrew Luck.
09 Aug 2016, 08:20am by Scott Kacsmar
At ESPN Insider, we looked at the top 10 quarterbacks from 2015 in drop-adjusted passing plus-minus, which was converted into a rate statistic we denote as C%+. This is a much better measure of accuracy than traditional completion percentage since the distance of direction of each throw is accounted for. Russell Wilson led all players, while Ben Roethlisberger, Carson Palmer and Andy Dalton also experienced career-best seasons.
6 comments, Last at 09 Aug 2016, 11:07pm by BigNose
05 Aug 2016, 01:26pm by Scott Kacsmar
Scott Kacsmar's annual Hall of Fame predictions include a reminder of L.T.'s greatness, the cases for Hines Ward and Donovan McNabb, and why we might be debating Ed Hochuli in a decade if changes aren't made to the Contributor category.
148 comments, Last at 19 Aug 2016, 4:55am by Bright Blue Shorts
03 Aug 2016, 10:54am by Scott Kacsmar
Here is our annual piece ranking all 32 teams by how much under-25 talent they have. We've got Jacksonville at No. 1 based on the promise of their three recent high defensive draft picks, plus an offense where the quarterback, running back, and top four wide receivers are all under 25 (and the top two receivers, in particular, are pretty good). Houston and Miami are also high. New England comes in last, with very little talent from the last couple drafts and a defense filled with really good 26-year-olds.