Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

08 Sep 2016, 05:56pm by Scott Kacsmar

Scott Kacsmar's 2016 NFL Predictions

Scott Kacsmar makes his 2016 predictions, noting where he specifically agrees and disagrees with the FO projections.

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5 comments, Last at 11 Sep 2016, 12:05pm by galactic_dev

07 Sep 2016, 06:23pm by Scott Kacsmar

The NFL Has an Age Problem

If you think the NFL product has been lacking in recent years, you are not alone. Just consider the age of the players. Kevin Clark of The Ringer has an interesting piece on the concern of more young players entering the league, fewer older players making rosters, and what effect that can have on the fundamentals of football. Our snap-weighted age metric is mentioned as the average age of rosters has gradually decreased from 27.2 in 2006 to a record-low 26.6 in 2015. There is also an interesting story of Baltimore coach John Harbaugh approaching DeMaurice Smith, the head of the NFLPA, at Tray Walker's funeral in March to express his dismay with the NFL's current rules for offseason contact between coaches and players.

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65 comments, Last at 16 Sep 2016, 7:02am by Theo

07 Sep 2016, 11:01am by Scott Kacsmar

ESPN: Week 1 DFS Matchups

This year's DFS columns at ESPN Insider will not focus on DraftKings salaries like last year, but will be more general while still focusing on DVOA-adjusted matchups. In Week 1, some of our favorites include Tajae Sharpe, Dak Prescott, Spencer Ware, Jared Cook and Russell Wilson. We're fading a lot of the 2015 injury returnees such as Andrew Luck, Jordy Nelson and Jimmy Graham.

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06 Sep 2016, 11:54pm by Scott Kacsmar

Building a Super Bowl Winner: Defense

The conclusion to Scott Kacsmar's Super Bowl study focuses on the defense. Why are we so willing to accept that "defense wins championships?" Also: sustaining offense vs. defense and the biggest single-year improvements since 1989.

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8 comments, Last at 07 Sep 2016, 4:23pm by Sixknots

02 Sep 2016, 04:42pm by Scott Kacsmar

Building a Super Bowl Winner: Offense

Part II of Scott Kacsmar's Super Bowl team study looks at the construction of offenses in the DVOA era, the importance of timing, the necessity of change, and the biggest single-year DVOA turnarounds since 1989.

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76 comments, Last at 13 Sep 2016, 8:05pm by jellygamatgoldg

31 Aug 2016, 11:27am by Scott Kacsmar

Building a Super Bowl Winner (Part I)

To win a Super Bowl, do you want a team with balance, or one that is dominant on one side of the ball? Part I of Scott Kacsmar's study looks at what the DVOA era tells us about building Super Bowl teams. Having a dominant unit and a track record of success is crucial, but has that always been true?

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68 comments, Last at 06 Sep 2016, 1:53pm by Billy Everyteen

27 Aug 2016, 02:53pm by Scott Kacsmar

Tony Romo Expected to Miss 6-10 Weeks with Back Injury

Tony Romo's back injury in Thursday night's preseason game is expected to cost the Dallas quarterback 6-10 weeks.

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50 comments, Last at 30 Aug 2016, 11:00am by Mike B. In Va

23 Aug 2016, 05:34pm by Scott Kacsmar

Tajae Sharpe: Perfect Situation for Early Success?

You don't see many fifth-round rookie wideouts with real expectations, but Tajae Sharpe is one. Tennessee's poor history of developing wideouts has led to a rare opportunity that Sharpe can seize this season.

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4 comments, Last at 25 Aug 2016, 4:44pm by Jerry

17 Aug 2016, 07:57pm by Scott Kacsmar

Derek Carr: Lies, Damned Lies and Statistics

Is Derek Carr a franchise QB or a young player trying to find his way? Scott Kacsmar sees his career as a case study for how fans value fantasy football vs. reality, and the divide between stats and film study.

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111 comments, Last at 08 Sep 2016, 7:22pm by bravehoptoad

16 Aug 2016, 09:38pm by Scott Kacsmar

FOA 2016 Discussion: The Root and Roots Show

Scott Kacsmar made his annual appearance on Greg Rasheed's The Root and Roots podcast to talk about Football Outsiders Almanac 2016. Topics include: why we expect the Broncos to regress to .500, the difficulty of sustaining a great defense over a great offense, surprise teams in 2016 and the favorites in each division heading into the season.

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