Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

06 Sep 2016, 11:54pm by Scott Kacsmar

Building a Super Bowl Winner: Defense

The conclusion to Scott Kacsmar's Super Bowl study focuses on the defense. Why are we so willing to accept that "defense wins championships?" Also: sustaining offense vs. defense and the biggest single-year improvements since 1989.

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8 comments, Last at 07 Sep 2016, 4:23pm by Sixknots

02 Sep 2016, 04:42pm by Scott Kacsmar

Building a Super Bowl Winner: Offense

Part II of Scott Kacsmar's Super Bowl team study looks at the construction of offenses in the DVOA era, the importance of timing, the necessity of change, and the biggest single-year DVOA turnarounds since 1989.

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77 comments, Last at 17 Nov 2016, 11:50am by Gift seller

31 Aug 2016, 11:27am by Scott Kacsmar

Building a Super Bowl Winner (Part I)

To win a Super Bowl, do you want a team with balance, or one that is dominant on one side of the ball? Part I of Scott Kacsmar's study looks at what the DVOA era tells us about building Super Bowl teams. Having a dominant unit and a track record of success is crucial, but has that always been true?

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68 comments, Last at 06 Sep 2016, 1:53pm by Billy Everyteen

27 Aug 2016, 02:53pm by Scott Kacsmar

Tony Romo Expected to Miss 6-10 Weeks with Back Injury

Tony Romo's back injury in Thursday night's preseason game is expected to cost the Dallas quarterback 6-10 weeks.

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50 comments, Last at 30 Aug 2016, 11:00am by Mike B. In Va

23 Aug 2016, 05:34pm by Scott Kacsmar

Tajae Sharpe: Perfect Situation for Early Success?

You don't see many fifth-round rookie wideouts with real expectations, but Tajae Sharpe is one. Tennessee's poor history of developing wideouts has led to a rare opportunity that Sharpe can seize this season.

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4 comments, Last at 25 Aug 2016, 4:44pm by Jerry

17 Aug 2016, 07:57pm by Scott Kacsmar

Derek Carr: Lies, Damned Lies and Statistics

Is Derek Carr a franchise QB or a young player trying to find his way? Scott Kacsmar sees his career as a case study for how fans value fantasy football vs. reality, and the divide between stats and film study.

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112 comments, Last at 17 Nov 2016, 11:44am by ClickbaitTeddyfanBS

16 Aug 2016, 09:38pm by Scott Kacsmar

FOA 2016 Discussion: The Root and Roots Show

Scott Kacsmar made his annual appearance on Greg Rasheed's The Root and Roots podcast to talk about Football Outsiders Almanac 2016. Topics include: why we expect the Broncos to regress to .500, the difficulty of sustaining a great defense over a great offense, surprise teams in 2016 and the favorites in each division heading into the season.

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15 Aug 2016, 03:09pm by Scott Kacsmar

Catch Radius: Amari Cooper

Amari Cooper finished with the 11th-most receiving yards by a rookie in NFL history, but is catching the ball his biggest weakness? Scott Kacsmar finds out just how many drops he had and looks at Cooper's catch radius.

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5 comments, Last at 16 Aug 2016, 2:47pm by fb29

15 Aug 2016, 08:34am by Scott Kacsmar

ESPN: Carr, Rodgers, Luck Among Least Accurate 2015 QBs

Last week at ESPN Insider, we looked at the top 10 most accurate passers of 2015 in C%+ (derived from drop-adjusted passing plus-minus). This week we looked at six passers among the bottom 10, including Derek Carr, Aaron Rodgers and Andrew Luck.

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09 Aug 2016, 08:20am by Scott Kacsmar

ESPN: NFL's 10 Most Accurate Passers

At ESPN Insider, we looked at the top 10 quarterbacks from 2015 in drop-adjusted passing plus-minus, which was converted into a rate statistic we denote as C%+. This is a much better measure of accuracy than traditional completion percentage since the distance of direction of each throw is accounted for. Russell Wilson led all players, while Ben Roethlisberger, Carson Palmer and Andy Dalton also experienced career-best seasons.

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6 comments, Last at 09 Aug 2016, 11:07pm by BigNose