01 Jul 2014, 12:32pm by Aaron Schatz
We're almost at July, which means people are going to start wondering when the 2014 KUBIAK fantasy football projections and Football Outsiders Almanac 2014 are going to show up for sale on Football Outsiders. I wanted to let everyone know about this year's delays. Both KUBIAK and the book will be delayed this year. We're hoping it's not for more than a week or two, but I'll be honest, there's a possibility the book won't be ready until early August. KUBIAK, at least, should be ready by July 16. (Click to read more.)
03 Jan 2014, 04:40pm by Aaron Schatz
Hey everybody! Time for the third edition of our Playoff Challenge game. Here's how it works: You need to pick a roster consisting of 2 QB, 4 RB, 4 WR, and 2 TE. However, you must pick one player from each of the 12 playoff teams, no duplicates. Whoever has the highest fantasy score during the playoffs wins a copy of Football Outsiders Almanac 2014 and the 2014 KUBIAK fantasy football projections. Standard fantasy scoring, no PPR. Thanks again to former Scramble writer Ian Dembsky for the idea for this game.
12 Jul 2012, 03:23pm by Aaron Schatz
Football Outsiders Almanac 2012 (PDF version) and the KUBIAK fantasy football spreadsheet are now on sale. Find out more details in this post. Now with samples!
24 Nov 2015, 08:17pm by Aaron Schatz
It's good to be the Carolina Panthers: trending upwards in DVOA, with an easier schedule and postseason path moving them past the Patriots as our Super Bowl favorites.
1 comment, Last at 8:38pm by Anon Ymous
24 Nov 2015, 07:26pm by Aaron Schatz
Want to play in Football Outsiders' annual Loser League competition, but without all the fuss of worrying about your team for more than one week? Want to win an NFL sweater from UglyChristmasSweater.com? Your dreams have come true! (Click to read more.)
13 comments, Last at 6:36pm by BlueStarDude
20 Nov 2015, 01:28pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's an article on ESPN Insider looking at which teams are likely to see regression in the second half because of elements of the game that are either out of their control or simply non-predictive. Among the items analyzed: performance in close games, fumble recovery rates, dropped passes by opponents, dropped interceptions, and performance by opposing kickers.
19 Nov 2015, 03:21pm by Aaron Schatz
Hey, want to get in on the advanced sports analytics business? If you're an experienced software engineer, you're in luck. We wanted to post this job listing as a favor to our friends at TruMedia and to our readers who are looking to get into this line of work. For those who don't know, TruMedia powers a lot of the stats infrastructure for ESPN Stats & Information and works directly with both MLB and NFL teams.
19 Nov 2015, 02:49pm by Aaron Schatz
This week's Off The Charts podcast looks closely at three teams where the win-loss record does not quite match our DVOA ratings. Go deeper into the world of the Minnesota Vikings and how they relate to a baseball stats concept known as "sequencing." Learn about the Kansas City Chiefs and a running game that somehow got better without Jamaal Charles. And go back in time to revisit the similarities between the 2015 Seattle Seahawks and the team that had the best DVOA ever for a 4-5 team: the 2003 Tampa Bay Bucs.
17 Nov 2015, 08:20pm by Aaron Schatz
The top four teams in DVOA stay the same after a week full of upsets, but what is Seattle doing at No. 5 after losing to Arizona? Plus, a more in-depth look at how Week 1's loss is dragging Minnesota down in our numbers.
123 comments, Last at 12:11pm by cstoos
17 Nov 2015, 05:27pm by Aaron Schatz
This week on the ESPN Fantasy Football Weekly podcast: How can you replace Julian Edelman on your team, why Brock Osweiler could help the Denver running game, and looking at bye week fills for Week 11.