Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

09 Feb 2017, 01:11pm by Aaron Schatz

Neural Networks Predict NFL HOF Chances for QB/RB

In case you didn't see this at ESPN or catch him talking about it on Twitter, Brian Burke's model of Hall of Fame chances using neural networks is kind of fascinating. This article talks about the HOF chances of top current players; Matt Ryan basically would have gone from "almost no chance" to "almost assured" with a Super Bowl win. It also discusses which HOF QB and RB are outliers, starting with Floyd Little and the newly elected Terrell Davis. Davis seems to suggest a change in voting trends to make running backs more like quarterbacks.

» More...

21 comments, Last at 24 Feb 2017, 9:00pm by Pen

09 Feb 2017, 12:53pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Best Super Bowl Runners-Up

Inspired by Brian Fremeau's similar article on losers of the NCAA National Championship, here's a look at the best Super Bowl losers of the last 25 years according to DVOA. These ratings include the playoffs and remove "sit the starters" games. You know the 2007 Patriots are No. 1 but No. 2 and No. 3 are probably a surprise. And, honestly... I may need to look into why we have the 2001 Rams so low next time I go to improve the system.

» More...

7 comments, Last at 23 Feb 2017, 9:42am by Topas

06 Feb 2017, 03:06pm by Aaron Schatz

Super Bowl LI DVOA/Quick Reads

The Falcons offense achieves a balance of first-down mastery and third-down misery that may be unprecedented in DVOA history. Plus: James White and Julio Jones are your players of the game.

» More...

100 comments, Last at 09 Feb 2017, 2:51pm by ClavisRa

03 Feb 2017, 01:45am by Aaron Schatz

Super Bowl LI Preview

The Falcons try to bring Atlanta its first Lombardi Trophy and its first pro title since 1995. The Brady-Belichick Patriots would mark themselves as the NFL's greatest dynasty with a fifth title. Welcome to Super Bowl LI.

» More...

36 comments, Last at 06 Feb 2017, 2:16am by theslothook

02 Feb 2017, 02:25pm by Aaron Schatz

SITE NEWS: FO Seeks New Technical Director

Football Outsiders is seeking a new Technical Director to help complete a long-awaited upgrade to Drupal 8 and then maintain our site afterwards. (Click to read more.)

» More...

0 comments

01 Feb 2017, 07:07pm by Aaron Schatz

Off The Charts Podcast: Super Bowl LI

Here's our Super Bowl LI preview on the Off The Charts Podcast. We go very in-depth trying to figure out how the Atlanta defense has improved over the last few weeks, how the Falcons are likely to attack the Patriots defense, and how Tom Brady fares against different coverages. (Click to read more.)

» More...

0 comments

01 Feb 2017, 01:07pm by Aaron Schatz

Michael Vick on Atlanta

Michael Vick's essay on why he'll always think of himself as an Atlanta Falcon is just really nice. A love letter to the fanbase, with the added benefit of some very funny comments about Madden 2004.

» More...

12 comments, Last at 03 Feb 2017, 12:17pm by ChrisS

31 Jan 2017, 04:31pm by Aaron Schatz

National Signing Day: Following the Signs

This fascinating feature from The Washington Post counts down the top 100 high school prospects from National Signing Day 2007 and what happened to them in the 10 years since. It's sort of surprising how often even the best prospects from high school don't end up making a career in the NFL. Also, how many of them sell medical equipment now.

» More...

5 comments, Last at 01 Feb 2017, 11:21am by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

31 Jan 2017, 12:32am by Aaron Schatz

1988 DVOA Ratings and Commentary

An unstoppable offense led by the MVP. A dynasty seeking one more title. That's not just the recipe for Super Bowl LI. It was also the recipe for Super Bowl XXIII. Now the Bengals, 49ers, and all of 1988 have been fully analyzed for DVOA ratings.

» More...

113 comments, Last at 06 Feb 2017, 3:26pm by JoeyHarringtonsPiano

30 Jan 2017, 04:35pm by Aaron Schatz

SITE NEWS: 14th Annual FO Reader Awards

Hey everyone! The 14th annual Football Outsiders Reader Awards are now open for voting. This is our chance to find out who the FO readers think should be MVP, Rookie of the Year, Coach of the Year, and more. We poll on overrated and underrated players (based on the Pro Bowl) and which ads you found the most entertaining and annoying during games this year. We've also got a special question this year to find out which young quarterback the FO readers prefer. Please vote before Saturday afternoon!

» More...

0 comments