Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

01 Jul 2014, 12:32pm by Aaron Schatz

SITE NEWS: Update on KUBIAK and FOA 2014

We're almost at July, which means people are going to start wondering when the 2014 KUBIAK fantasy football projections and Football Outsiders Almanac 2014 are going to show up for sale on Football Outsiders. I wanted to let everyone know about this year's delays. Both KUBIAK and the book will be delayed this year. We're hoping it's not for more than a week or two, but I'll be honest, there's a possibility the book won't be ready until early August. KUBIAK, at least, should be ready by July 16. (Click to read more.)

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03 Jan 2014, 04:40pm by Aaron Schatz

2014 Football Outsiders Playoff Challenge

Hey everybody! Time for the third edition of our Playoff Challenge game. Here's how it works: You need to pick a roster consisting of 2 QB, 4 RB, 4 WR, and 2 TE. However, you must pick one player from each of the 12 playoff teams, no duplicates. Whoever has the highest fantasy score during the playoffs wins a copy of Football Outsiders Almanac 2014 and the 2014 KUBIAK fantasy football projections. Standard fantasy scoring, no PPR. Thanks again to former Scramble writer Ian Dembsky for the idea for this game.

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12 Jul 2012, 03:23pm by Aaron Schatz

KUBIAK and FOA 2012 Available! (UPDATE)

Football Outsiders Almanac 2012 (PDF version) and the KUBIAK fantasy football spreadsheet are now on sale. Find out more details in this post. Now with samples!

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21 May 2015, 05:53pm by Aaron Schatz

How Lavonte David Became So Inexplicably Good

Here's a good piece from SB Nation about our current No. 1 favorite underrated NFL player, Tampa Bay linebacker Lavonte David. The Miami high school product dreamed of playing for the U, but ended up following a winding road through community college and Nebraska to a home on Florida's other coast.

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4 comments, Last at 24 May 2015, 8:42pm by chemical burn

19 May 2015, 06:08pm by Aaron Schatz

Extra Points Will Move to the 15

The NFL owners today officially voted to move the line of scrimmage for extra points back to the 15, making the XP now equivalent to a 33-yard field goal. The line of scrimmage remains the 2 for the 2-point conversion. In addition, returning a blocked kick, fumble, or interception on a point-after try will now be worth two points for the defense.

I hate this rule change so much. Why do we need to make the point-after try complicated? If you want to increase excitement, just move the line of scrimmage to the 1 to encourage going for 2-point conversions.

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137 comments, Last at 23 May 2015, 11:06pm by tuluse

18 May 2015, 04:18pm by Aaron Schatz

Justin Smith Officially Retiring

Justin Smith is officially retiring, which everyone pretty much expected anyway. I prefer players announcing their retirement right after their actual final season more than this recently popular practice of sitting around a couple years hoping you get one last contract, then signing a one-day deal with the team you are most identified with just so you can retire.

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137 comments, Last at 25 May 2015, 6:58pm by theslothook

18 May 2015, 12:28pm by Aaron Schatz

Packers Muscle Their Way Into Pitch Perfect 2

In case you were wondering how the Green Bay Packers ended up as an a cappella group in the new movie Pitch Perfect 2, it's apparently all David Bakhtiari's doing.

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2 comments, Last at 18 May 2015, 5:43pm by Dice

12 May 2015, 01:10pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Early NFC Projections for 2015

As I did a year ago, I've done a "quick version" of 2015 projections for ESPN Insider. These are not the official projections that will appear in FOA 2015. They simply regress DVOA to the mean for offense, defense, and special teams each separately, then make some small changes based on injury rates last year and certain personnel changes. The NFC projections are about as expected, except perhaps in the NFC South where we see both Atlanta and New Orleans rebounding. Easy schedules are a big help.

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25 comments, Last at 13 May 2015, 11:39pm by Will Allen

11 May 2015, 02:39pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Early AFC Projections for 2015

As I did a year ago, I've done a "quick version" of 2015 projections for ESPN Insider. These are not the official projections that will appear in FOA 2015. They simply regress DVOA to the mean for offense, defense, and special teams each separately, then make some small changes based on injury rates last year and certain personnel changes. The big story out of the AFC projections: Miami, which was pretty good last year except on special teams, should challenge New England for the AFC East title.

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23 comments, Last at 18 May 2015, 3:55pm by mehllageman56

08 May 2015, 05:34pm by Aaron Schatz

Dante Fowler Tears ACL, Out for Year

The third overall pick in this year's draft tore his ACL in his first-ever NFL practice and is done for the season. Man, fate just hates Jacksonville.

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15 comments, Last at 17 May 2015, 10:44am by SarahStewart732