01 Jul 2014, 12:32pm by Aaron Schatz
We're almost at July, which means people are going to start wondering when the 2014 KUBIAK fantasy football projections and Football Outsiders Almanac 2014 are going to show up for sale on Football Outsiders. I wanted to let everyone know about this year's delays. Both KUBIAK and the book will be delayed this year. We're hoping it's not for more than a week or two, but I'll be honest, there's a possibility the book won't be ready until early August. KUBIAK, at least, should be ready by July 16. (Click to read more.)
03 Jan 2014, 04:40pm by Aaron Schatz
Hey everybody! Time for the third edition of our Playoff Challenge game. Here's how it works: You need to pick a roster consisting of 2 QB, 4 RB, 4 WR, and 2 TE. However, you must pick one player from each of the 12 playoff teams, no duplicates. Whoever has the highest fantasy score during the playoffs wins a copy of Football Outsiders Almanac 2014 and the 2014 KUBIAK fantasy football projections. Standard fantasy scoring, no PPR. Thanks again to former Scramble writer Ian Dembsky for the idea for this game.
12 Jul 2012, 03:23pm by Aaron Schatz
Football Outsiders Almanac 2012 (PDF version) and the KUBIAK fantasy football spreadsheet are now on sale. Find out more details in this post. Now with samples!
25 Nov 2014, 06:13pm by Aaron Schatz
Denver remains No. 1 in the Football Outsiders DVOA ratings, but New England moves up to No. 2 and has taken over as our Super Bowl favorite.
39 comments, Last at 9:54pm by oaktoon
20 Nov 2014, 05:37pm by Aaron Schatz
The NFL has announced that this week's Jets-Bills game will not be played Sunday due to nine zillion feet of snow in Buffalo. It will be moved, probably to Monday night and either to Detroit or Washington. Because if there's any town filled with Bills fans, it's Washington. And by "filled with Bills fans," I mean, "Tim Russert's kid."
29 comments, Last at 24 Nov 2014, 7:36pm by Jerry
20 Nov 2014, 12:40pm by Aaron Schatz
If the Saints are only 4-6, then Drew Brees must be struggling, right? Nope.
19 Nov 2014, 01:15pm by Aaron Schatz
Can't believe I missed this when Nate Silver threw it up last week, since it is one of my favorite subjects. I love to discuss expansion possibilities, and I feel bad for cities that don't get to have NFL football. But I also think the logistics of a London franchise would be awful. Silver here tries to estimate the NFL fan base of two dozen different possible expansion markets and points out what I think is mind-numbingly obvious. If you want to expand to another country, we happen to have two very nice countries directly to the north and south of us that already have larger established football fanbases.
40 comments, Last at 24 Nov 2014, 7:52am by Sophandros
19 Nov 2014, 01:09pm by Aaron Schatz
Long article today by Richard Deitsch asking if advanced stats will ever be used on NFL broadcasts. Includes a lot of interview with me, since this question is a passion of mine. To summarize my feelings on the issue: 1) The goal is really not getting advanced stats onto game broadcasts, but rather to get commentators to understand the ideas behind those stats; 2) studio shows are a better place for advanced stats than broadcasts themselves; 3) I'm available.
20 comments, Last at 23 Nov 2014, 2:35pm by Theo
18 Nov 2014, 08:03pm by Aaron Schatz
Denver is still No. 1, but as the weakest first-place team in DVOA history. Tampa Bay is almost the strongest last-place team in DVOA history. And Arizona is still inexplicably No. 15 at 9-1. Ball of confusion: that's what DVOA is today. Hey hey.
185 comments, Last at 3:20am by ronnyo
14 Nov 2014, 07:13pm by Aaron Schatz
Information on games we are seeking from 1986 and 1987. (Click to read more.)
9 comments, Last at 16 Nov 2014, 3:27am by Jerry