Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

24 Mar 2017, 11:59am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Ranking NFL's Best Teams at Every Position Post-Free Agency

Back before the playoffs, I wrote for ESPN Insider ranking the units of all 12 playoff teams. This article is similar, but looks at the top-10 teams at each unit after free agency. The FO staff had some debate on some of my decisions at QB and WR/TE, where it's difficult to figure out just how to separate a quarterback from his receivers. And can you guess which NFL franchise is No. 1 for one unit but below-average everywhere else?

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6 comments, Last at 24 Mar 2017, 7:50pm by dank067

13 Mar 2017, 02:10pm by Aaron Schatz

1987 DVOA Ratings and Commentary

Let's go back in time 30 years, when a four-week player strike threw the entire league into turmoil. We've got advanced stats for both the regular players and the strikebreakers, plus a San Francisco 49ers team that led the league in both offense and defense but imploded in one of the greatest upsets in NFL postseason history.

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104 comments, Last at 24 Mar 2017, 1:02am by jpg30@earthlink.net

07 Mar 2017, 11:11am by Aaron Schatz

Four Downs: AFC East

The Super Bowl champions need to boost their pass rush. Defense is also in demand in Miami and New York, while the Bills are looking for receivers to complement Sammy Watkins.

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40 comments, Last at 13 Mar 2017, 1:57pm by Anon Ymous

27 Feb 2017, 07:23pm by Aaron Schatz

Steelers Make Antonio Brown Highest-Paid WR in NFL

Antonio Brown is gonna get paid. It's a four-year deal at $68 million, but front-loaded. That's interesting because it should help the Steelers keep Brown all four years. It will be $18.5 million the first three years, $12.5 million in 2020. Brown is the best wide receiver in the game -- you can argue Julio Jones, though I'll still take Brown. Our stats absolutely love him. He was No. 1 in DYAR in both 2014 and 2015, two of the top ten seasons in DYAR history. He had an off-year in 2016 and still finished No. 7. Also, he makes the NFL fun.

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10 comments, Last at 02 Mar 2017, 12:41pm by ChrisS

27 Feb 2017, 01:56pm by Aaron Schatz

2017 Franchise Tag Discussion (Latest: Trumaine Johnson)

Here's a running thread to discuss announcements on franchise tags. (Click to read more.)

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74 comments, Last at 11 Mar 2017, 4:59pm by jackiel

09 Feb 2017, 01:11pm by Aaron Schatz

Neural Networks Predict NFL HOF Chances for QB/RB

In case you didn't see this at ESPN or catch him talking about it on Twitter, Brian Burke's model of Hall of Fame chances using neural networks is kind of fascinating. This article talks about the HOF chances of top current players; Matt Ryan basically would have gone from "almost no chance" to "almost assured" with a Super Bowl win. It also discusses which HOF QB and RB are outliers, starting with Floyd Little and the newly elected Terrell Davis. Davis seems to suggest a change in voting trends to make running backs more like quarterbacks.

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21 comments, Last at 24 Feb 2017, 9:00pm by Pen

09 Feb 2017, 12:53pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Best Super Bowl Runners-Up

Inspired by Brian Fremeau's similar article on losers of the NCAA National Championship, here's a look at the best Super Bowl losers of the last 25 years according to DVOA. These ratings include the playoffs and remove "sit the starters" games. You know the 2007 Patriots are No. 1 but No. 2 and No. 3 are probably a surprise. And, honestly... I may need to look into why we have the 2001 Rams so low next time I go to improve the system.

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7 comments, Last at 23 Feb 2017, 9:42am by Topas

06 Feb 2017, 03:06pm by Aaron Schatz

Super Bowl LI DVOA/Quick Reads

The Falcons offense achieves a balance of first-down mastery and third-down misery that may be unprecedented in DVOA history. Plus: James White and Julio Jones are your players of the game.

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100 comments, Last at 09 Feb 2017, 2:51pm by ClavisRa

03 Feb 2017, 01:45am by Aaron Schatz

Super Bowl LI Preview

The Falcons try to bring Atlanta its first Lombardi Trophy and its first pro title since 1995. The Brady-Belichick Patriots would mark themselves as the NFL's greatest dynasty with a fifth title. Welcome to Super Bowl LI.

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36 comments, Last at 06 Feb 2017, 2:16am by theslothook

02 Feb 2017, 02:25pm by Aaron Schatz

SITE NEWS: FO Seeks New Technical Director

Football Outsiders is seeking a new Technical Director to help complete a long-awaited upgrade to Drupal 8 and then maintain our site afterwards. (Click to read more.)

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