11 Jan 2017, 04:11pm by Aaron Schatz
OK, the head coaching dominoes are beginning to fall, starting with the best available job. Miami defensive coordinator Vance Joseph will take over in Denver. No, the Dolphins defense was not good this year, and it faded down the stretch. Look instead at what Joseph did before that with the Houston defensive backs (2011-2013) and Cincinnati defensive backs (2014-2015). You don't hire a head coach to scheme, you hire a head coach to manage personnel and serve as locker room CEO. A lot of people I know in the NFL have long been very high on Joseph's ability to do those things.
48 comments, Last at 13 Jan 2017, 10:14am by jtr
10 Jan 2017, 07:42pm by Aaron Schatz
Announcing the Football Outsiders players for Madden 17 Ultimate Team from wild-card weekend. (Click to read more.)
1 comment, Last at 12 Jan 2017, 10:15pm by Maddenplaya209
09 Jan 2017, 05:50pm by Aaron Schatz
Not much is changing as weighted DVOA ratings continue into the playoffs, though Pittsburgh has moved up to No. 2 overall and Green Bay is now the No. 1 weighted offense.
24 comments, Last at 13 Jan 2017, 1:41pm by Hoodie_Sleeves
05 Jan 2017, 02:50pm by Aaron Schatz
This week's Off The Charts Podcast goes in-depth on the wild-card games. Can the Raiders expect anything from Connor Cook? And what does it tell us that Miami and New York had such strong pressure rates but such low adjusted sack rates? (Click for audio link.)
1 comment, Last at 10 Jan 2017, 4:05am by Gary SWilliams
05 Jan 2017, 02:14pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's an interesting little feature for ESPN Insider where I attempted to rank all 12 playoff teams, unit by unit, based on FO stats and consultation with our staff. Feel free to quibble with the WR/TE rankings, which were by far the toughest and could be in a completely different order.
03 Jan 2017, 04:40pm by Aaron Schatz
Hey everybody! Time for the annual Football Outsiders Playoff Challenge game. Here's how it works: You need to pick a roster consisting of 2 QB, 4 RB, 4 WR, and 2 TE. However, you must pick one player from each of the 12 playoff teams, no duplicates. Whoever has the highest fantasy score during the playoffs wins a copy of Football Outsiders Almanac 2017 and the 2017 KUBIAK fantasy football projections. (Click to read more.)
40 comments, Last at 18 Jan 2017, 4:10pm by CoverOne
02 Jan 2017, 07:19pm by Aaron Schatz
It turns out, The Year of No Great Teams may in fact have a great team. The New England Patriots head into the postseason strong as the No. 1 team in DVOA, their eighth straight year ranking sixth or higher.
110 comments, Last at 05 Jan 2017, 10:06pm by DezBailey
02 Jan 2017, 04:22pm by Aaron Schatz
The best passers, runners, and receivers of Week 17 include the best and worst games for running backs all season.
57 comments, Last at 04 Jan 2017, 12:13pm by bravehoptoad
30 Dec 2016, 12:50pm by Aaron Schatz
I had a lot of fun writing this feature for ESPN Insider, finding a past playoff team (since 1990) similar to each of this year's playoff teams. I used DVOA splits but also common sense, to find a team that had similar stats and narrative. Don't worry if you miss seeing Denver in the playoffs, the Broncos are there! The Patriots are the 2013 Broncos, the Giants are the poor man's 2015 Broncos, and the Texans are the 2011 Tim Tebow Broncos because nobody can figure out how they've won so many games.
4 comments, Last at 31 Dec 2016, 1:57pm by JoeyHarringtonsPiano
29 Dec 2016, 03:40pm by Aaron Schatz
This week's Off The Charts podcast features some matchup breakdown on the big Green Bay-Detroit and Washington-New York Giants games that will decide the final two NFC playoff spots. We also talk about which teams are the biggest threats to the Patriots and Cowboys meeting in Super Bowl LI, and why. (Click for audio link)