12 May 2016, 10:42am by Aaron Schatz
We did our early AFC projections on Wednesday, now here are the early NFC projections. They look very familiar... but probably closer to 2014 than to 2015. We're expecting Green Bay and Dallas to rebound with better health. Carolina is likely to decline but still lead the NFC South. Out west, the two best teams in the NFL may see the race for the No. 1 seed decided by a federal court and a big suspension in the other conference.
20 comments, Last at 18 May 2016, 11:10am by Kaelik
11 May 2016, 03:25pm by Aaron Schatz
Well, here we go. It's time to take off the wrapping and unveil our first run of 2016 NFL projections. This ESPN Insider article goes in-depth into the projections which were also featured last week in Todd McShay's "way too early" 2017 mock draft. I explain why Denver is likely to significantly decline, why the AFC North could put three teams in the playoffs again, and why the Colts may not be the obvious pick in the AFC South despite Andrew Luck's return. NFC projections will run on Thursday. There's some video too.
27 comments, Last at 20 May 2016, 11:26pm by LionInAZ
11 May 2016, 03:11pm by Aaron Schatz
The Off The Charts NFL Podcast is back for the offseason! Aaron Schatz and Scott Spratt review Football Outsiders' first run at 2016 projections, which you'll find in ESPN Insider articles on Wednesday and Thursday of this week. Why do we think Denver is likely to follow up its Super Bowl championship with a losing record? How does Tom Brady's suspension affect the top two teams in the NFL, even though they are 3,000 miles away? And which is the projection among all 32 where Aaron disagrees most with what the objective stat formula says for 2016?
10 May 2016, 05:57pm by Aaron Schatz
Our offseason Four Downs series returns with a division-by-division look at each team's biggest remaining holes and their most notable UDFA signings. The Jets may have the most interesting UDFA class in the league this year.
5 comments, Last at 22 Jun 2016, 1:42pm by sabir234
03 May 2016, 04:31pm by Aaron Schatz
Those "next-gen stats" on NFL broadcasts are pretty useless, but there's actually a ton of interesting things you can do with the Zebra data that tracks player movement with chips in each player's shoulder pads. Nik Oza from the Georgetown Sports Analysis club got access to similar data as part of the 2016 MIT Sloan Conference "Hackathon" and shares here some of the things teams will be able to do with this tracking data.
3 comments, Last at 05 May 2016, 3:51pm by Tomlin_Is_Infallible
25 Apr 2016, 12:52pm by Aaron Schatz
The 2nd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals has ruled in a 2-1 decision, overturning the previous overturning of Tom Brady's four-game Deflategate suspension. The essential finding here is that in the last CBA, the NFLPA negotiated away any legal rights for players. Roger Goodell's broad discretion under the CBA means he can essentially do anything to any player for any reason at any time.
376 comments, Last at 02 May 2016, 9:56am by justanothersteve
20 Apr 2016, 02:23pm by Aaron Schatz
Well, another big trade at the top of the NFL draft. The Cleveland Browns are trading the No. 2 pick in this year's NFL draft to the Philadelphia Eagles for five selections over the next two years.
The Browns get the 2016 first-round pick (No. 8 overall), the Eagles' third-round and fourth-round picks in 2016. They also get the Eagles' 2017 first-round pick and the Eagles' 2018 second-rounder. The Eagles get the No. 2 pick this year and... reports seem to disagree on whether they also get this year's Cleveland fourth-round pick or a conditional 2017 fourth-round pick.
187 comments, Last at 13 May 2016, 12:46pm by jammer2
23 Mar 2016, 01:23pm by Aaron Schatz
So, the NFL has decided to move a touchback after a kickoff to the 25 instead of the 20. This is another move designed to reduce kickoff returns in an attempt to reduce injuries... and it is going to totally backfire. That five-yard move creates a huge incentive for squibs and pop-up kicks and other plays designed to force the return team to take the ball back from inside the 20. It also changes the math to make surprise onside kicks a better value; a failed onside now gives the other team five fewer yards.
35 comments, Last at 07 Apr 2016, 10:44pm by PatsFan
16 Mar 2016, 09:58pm by Aaron Schatz
Time for the Patriots to take another chance on a disgruntled player. The Bears have been trying to send Martellus Bennett elsewhere for over a year now, and finally found a trading partner. They'll deal Bennett to the Patriots along with a sixth-round pick, and get a fourth-rounder in return. Bennett could finally allow the Patriots to really feature their two-tight end sets for the first time since Aaron Hernandez was cut, or he could spend the entire season complaining that he's behind Rob Gronkowski for targets.
41 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2016, 10:08pm by theslothook
10 Mar 2016, 01:07pm by Aaron Schatz
I forgot to post this story for discussion when the penalty was first announced, but the NFL announced it is taking away Kansas City's 2016 third-round pick and 2017 sixth-round pick as punishment for tampering with Jeremy Maclin during the 2015 offseason. That's right, the Kansas City Chiefs are CHEATERS!... for doing something that's against the rules but every team in the NFL does and we all know it. Apparently, Andy Reid spoke to Maclin during the "legal tampering period" when team officials are only supposed to be contacting agents, but not the players themselves.
42 comments, Last at 28 Mar 2016, 11:28am by Red Hedgehog