31 Jan 2014, 02:11am by Aaron Schatz
Denver's offense vs. Seattle's defense is a legendary matchup for the ages. But Seattle's offense vs. Denver's defense is the matchup that will probably decide this game, and the Seahawks have the advantage of being better and healthier.
77 comments, Last at 04 Feb 2014, 11:24am by The Ancient Mariner
27 Jan 2014, 11:32am by Aaron Schatz
Beginning next Monday, Football Outsiders will require readers to be logged in as registered site users in order to comment in discussion threads. (Click to read more.)
23 Jan 2014, 05:00pm by Aaron Schatz
Look, kids, Cleveland has a head coach! It's former Bills and Jets defensive coordinator Mike Pettine. Pettine helped take the Bills defense from 27th in DVOA in 2012 to fourth in 2013, and the Cleveland defensive personnel would seem to be a great fit for Pettine's aggressive hybrid 3-4/4-3 defense. Barkevious Mingo is going to go nuts. Whether Pettine has the CEO-like skills required of a head coach, and whether he can hire a useful offensive coordinator, I have no clue.
20 comments, Last at 30 Jan 2014, 6:54pm by LionInAZ
20 Jan 2014, 02:57pm by Aaron Schatz
Fun with chalk: The top two teams in DVOA make the Super Bowl for the first time since 2002 and only the third time since 1989.
126 comments, Last at 08 Mar 2014, 1:08pm by conon
19 Jan 2014, 03:45pm by Aaron Schatz
I did an annual appearance on the Betting Dork podcast last week in between working on playoff previews and dealing with my usual nonsense. We didn't do much on the conference championships, but talked a bit about futures for 2014, Twitter criticism, and the limits of both stat analysis and all-22 footage.
17 Jan 2014, 06:50pm by Aaron Schatz
The secret to this year's NFC Championship game is that the Seattle defense played like more than the sum of its parts this year ... and the San Francisco defense played like a bit less than the sum of its parts.
45 comments, Last at 22 Jan 2014, 3:58pm by LionInAZ
15 Jan 2014, 06:01pm by Aaron Schatz
Hey everybody. Almost time for those FO reader awards, and I've got a bit of a problem this year. Well, two problems, and I was hoping you could all help out. (Click to read more.)
178 comments, Last at 23 Jan 2014, 5:10pm by Duke
14 Jan 2014, 02:03pm by Aaron Schatz
Yeah, I'm not getting this one. We know that Caldwell made some decisions that helped turn around the Baltimore Ravens offense last year, which in turn helped lead to their Super Bowl run. However, that same offense then collapsed this year -- on the run, they collapsed so completely that they had one of the worst running games of all time. Caldwell went to a Super Bowl with the Colts, but we all agree he basically was carried there by Peyton Manning and all the leftover talent from the Dungy era, right?
91 comments, Last at 16 Jan 2014, 7:05pm by Alexander
13 Jan 2014, 08:25pm by Aaron Schatz
The big surprise of Divisional weekend is that there were no surprises, so why should DVOA be any different? Our final four rank 1, 2, 3, and 5 in weighted DVOA.
90 comments, Last at 15 Jan 2014, 7:23pm by bravehoptoad
10 Jan 2014, 08:58pm by Aaron Schatz
In Seattle Saturday afternoon, everything is coming up Seahawks except recent playoff history. For Carolina's rematch with San Francisco, the difference may be the players who didn't get on the field nine weeks ago.
35 comments, Last at 15 Jan 2014, 5:33pm by KamMoye