Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

27 Sep 2016, 08:45pm by Aaron Schatz

J.J. Watt Re-Injures Back, Placed on IR

Originally reported by Ian Rapaport of NFL.com: "Texans star DL J.J. Watt has re-injured his back and is expected to be out for an extended period of time. Could be the season." Obviously there are more details to come, but this is a pretty big deal. It's hard to think of a non-quarterback who impacts a game when healthy more than Watt. He clearly hasn't been healthy this year, and a setback is the worst news Houston could get, especially if he's done for the season.

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25 comments, Last at 10 Oct 2016, 9:17am by ZDNeal

27 Sep 2016, 07:41pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 3 DVOA Ratings

Philadelphia opens a bigger lead in our ratings, one of a number of top teams being driven primarily by defense in the early part of 2016.

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92 comments, Last at 29 Sep 2016, 3:20pm by Theo

23 Sep 2016, 03:14pm by Aaron Schatz

Brissett Tears Thumb Ligament, Pats May Be Down to 4th QB

OK, this is kind of nuts. Patriots quarterback Jacoby Brissett apparently tore a ligament in his right thumb during the second half of last night's 27-0 win over Houston, when Vince Wilfork fell on him in the third quarter. There seems to be disagreement among reporters about how bad the injury is, with Mike Petraglia of WEEI reporting that Brissett needs surgery but Ian Rapoport of NFL.com saying the injury may not be bad enough to keep Brissett out in Week 4.

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86 comments, Last at 28 Sep 2016, 11:12am by Noah of Arkadia

22 Sep 2016, 03:10pm by Aaron Schatz

Off The Charts Podcast: September 22

In this week's edition of the Off The Charts podcast: What is Minnesota's future like given all their injuries? What's going on with Aaron Rodgers? And is San Diego's hot start sustainable? (Click for audio link.)

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21 Sep 2016, 11:10am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Changes in Playoff Odds after Two Weeks

This ESPN Insider feature looks at the five teams that have seen the biggest rise in their playoff odds since the preseason, including the Eagles and Ravens, and the five teams that have fallen the most, including the Colts and Redskins.

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20 Sep 2016, 06:33pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 2 DVOA Ratings

Philadelphia is No. 1 after two weeks. The last 13 teams to rank No. 1 after Week 2 averaged 12.5 wins... but all of them were better than the Eagles. Plus: the Texans, Pats, and Giants may be 2-0, but they're surprisingly low in DVOA.

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121 comments, Last at 26 Sep 2016, 12:57am by The Hypno-Toad

19 Sep 2016, 02:18pm by Aaron Schatz

Seahawks Penalized Fifth-Round Pick

Roger Goodell's fickle finger of fate has once again pointed towards an NFL team, this time the Seattle Seahawks. They'll lose a 2017 fifth-round pick for violating offseason rules prohibiting excessive contact in OTAs. At least this penalty seems to be a joint decision of the NFL and the NFLPA after watching practice video of the workout in question, rather than just Goodell's random decision.

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13 comments, Last at 28 Sep 2016, 4:43pm by scraps

16 Sep 2016, 01:38pm by Aaron Schatz

Bills Fire OC Greg Roman

This is some varsity-level scapegoating here. Greg Roman took a backup quarterback nobody wanted and turned that into a top-10 offense by DVOA even though LeSean McCoy and Sammy Watkins couldn't always stay healthy. Meanwhile, the Bills defense collapsed last season. And yet, after a 37-31 loss, who gets fired? That's right, goodbye Greg Roman, being replaced by RB coach Anthony Lynn.

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34 comments, Last at 21 Sep 2016, 5:36pm by jtr

15 Sep 2016, 04:46pm by Aaron Schatz

Off The Charts Podcast: September 15

Our weekly Football Outsiders podcast is back for the 2016 season, kicking off weekly discussion of the NFL with some talk about the 49ers-Rams game and Tampa Bay's newly bolstered odds of winning the NFC South. (Click for audio link.)

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1 comment, Last at 17 Sep 2016, 2:53am by Insancipitory

14 Sep 2016, 12:06pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Jared Goff Should Start

New on ESPN Insider, Rivers McCown points out that Jared Goff's preseason stats were actually better than Carson Wentz's preseason stats, and not that dissimilar from some other recent top picks. Meanwhile, the best rookie in the preseason in recent history was Blake Bortles, who finished last in passing DYAR that year.

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14 comments, Last at 16 Sep 2016, 11:28pm by LionInAZ