14 Nov 2006, 05:51pm by Aaron Schatz
After a week of upsets, the DVOA rankings are much the same, but the differences between teams get smaller. This week's commentary is now available at FOXSports.com. Plus: Introducing the FO Playoff Odds Report, rough draft.
316 comments, Last at 18 Nov 2006, 11:50pm by B
13 Nov 2006, 08:35pm by Aaron Schatz
Ocho-Cinco had the second-best receiver DPAR game ever. Carson Palmer had the best DPAR game of the week. Cincinnati lost maybe the most entertaining game ever. And the Saints-Steelers game provided a nice undercard.
56 comments, Last at 17 Nov 2006, 6:09am by Adam
13 Nov 2006, 07:18pm by Aaron Schatz
Go back to your Pro Football Prospectus 2006. Read what David Lewin wrote about Philip Rivers. Be amazed at how accurate it was. Look at the projection for Jason Campbell. Note that no recent top QB prospect has both more college starts and a higher collegiate completion percentage than Campbell. Adjust expectations of possible late-season Washington upsets accordingly.
37 comments, Last at 15 Nov 2006, 1:28am by Erasmus
13 Nov 2006, 01:55am by Aaron Schatz
Wow. What a week for injuries. Discuss here. Orlando Pace is done for the year after tearing a triceps. Clinton Portis broke his hand and will probably miss a couple weeks at least, maybe more. Tony Gonzalez is out 2-3 weeks with a shoulder injury. Luke Petitgout broke his leg. Troy Polamalu, Deshea Townsend, and Frank Gore all had concussions, and I assume T.J. Whosyourdaddy had one too after that Marlon McCree cheap shot.
23 comments, Last at 14 Nov 2006, 11:19am by drtobes
11 Nov 2006, 11:14pm by Aaron Schatz
The idea behind this column is simple: NFL kickers are more consistent kicking off than they are kicking field goals. But until I did the research for this article, I had no idea just how dramatic the difference really is.
59 comments, Last at 08 Jan 2010, 1:35pm by Jameszeee
10 Nov 2006, 09:38pm by Aaron Schatz
Aaron Schatz examines which teams are consistent, no matter who the opponent is. (Click link to read more.)
10 Nov 2006, 07:41pm by Aaron Schatz
Here are the fourth annual FO midseason projections. This year, projections say the surprise team of the second half will be Chicago -- and not in a good way.
62 comments, Last at 15 Nov 2006, 11:22pm by ttomas
10 Nov 2006, 07:03pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's a catch-all thread for discussion of this week's posts on the Football Outsiders FOX blog. Covered this week: More explanation of DVOA for Philadelphia, pass interference and holding penalties, and whether or not certain teams play at the exact same level no matter the opponent.
6 comments, Last at 15 Nov 2006, 11:03am by kleph
09 Nov 2006, 12:49am by Aaron Schatz
You know, I almost wrote about Taylor's problems in this week's Pittsburgh DVOA comment, but I just felt like I needed a week where my Pittsburgh comment was a little less serious. Anyway, Ike Taylor has been a problem for quite some time. When we first started analyzing the 2005 charting data, I was stunned at how often opponents picked on Taylor. Then I watched the Super Bowl, where the Seahawks threw at Taylor over and over, no matter which receiver he was covering.
33 comments, Last at 13 Nov 2006, 3:19am by Jerry
08 Nov 2006, 06:22pm by Aaron Schatz
Surprise! I had no idea that Toomer had even suffered a knee injury on Sunday. Toomer is old, but he was a reasonably useful second receiver this year. Between this and the Michael Strahan injury, the Giants' Super Bowl hopes have really taken a turn for the worse this week. Sinorice Moss can't seem to get healthy either, which means that Plaxico Burress -- who himself has injury issues -- will start opposite, um, I dunno, Tim Carter? David Tyree? Neither of those guys is really a starting-quality wideout.
24 comments, Last at 15 Nov 2006, 1:50pm by serendipity