22 Dec 2016, 05:25pm by Aaron Schatz
A closer look, game by game, at how the Philadelphia Eagles have managed to go 5-9 despite outscoring their opponents. (Click to read more.)
2 comments, Last at 23 Dec 2016, 3:37pm by eagleinzona
22 Dec 2016, 05:01pm by Aaron Schatz
The new edition of the Off The Charts Podcast looks at all the important games this weekend and what they mean for playoff odds. We've got some in-depth analysis on Baltimore at Pittsburgh, and a closer look at why DVOA is so down on the Detroit Lions. (Click for audio link.)
21 Dec 2016, 12:59pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's a look at our playoff odds for Football Outsiders, with commentary including a breakdown of the chances that the NFC North and AFC South will be decided with Week 17 showdowns.
20 Dec 2016, 06:45pm by Aaron Schatz
The Pittsburgh Steelers are the NFL's most balanced team and most inconsistent team... and they now join Dallas and New England as one of DVOA's top three teams. Plus: The spectacular record-shattering seasons of Johnny Hekker and Justin Tucker.
83 comments, Last at 27 Dec 2016, 1:29pm by DezBailey
20 Dec 2016, 01:41pm by Aaron Schatz
This is a really interesting analysis by our friend Greg Bedard, looking at a variety of metrics from both FO and PFF (blocking, run game, weapons, coaching, and defense) to get an estimate on which quarterbacks are in the best situation to succeed. The Rams and Browns are worst, but Vikings are very low (Cian Fahey is nodding now). At the top are the Steelers, the Patriots (coaching, remember?) and the Cowboys. Please ignore the fact that the SI website layout makes me want to stab my eyeballs out and often includes self-launching video, and read the article anyway, because it is good.
27 comments, Last at 29 Dec 2016, 4:33pm by Frip88
19 Dec 2016, 02:02pm by Aaron Schatz
In case you have not seen it yet, Tim Graham's Bills-Browns recap in the Buffalo News is a work of art.
4 comments, Last at 20 Dec 2016, 2:57pm by In_Belichick_We_Trust
16 Dec 2016, 05:35pm by Aaron Schatz
A lot of readers have asked me to run numbers on kickoff returns this year, to find out if returners really are making a mistake by taking it out of the end zone so often. I never have found the time, so it's nice that Benjamin Morris at FiveThirtyEight has done it for me.
"If the entire league had simply taken a knee on these 356 kickoffs it returned out of the endzone, it would have saved a combined 1,108 yards of field position."
So stop taking the damn kickoffs out of the end zone. Stop it already. Just stop.
10 comments, Last at 17 Dec 2016, 8:34pm by LionInAZ
15 Dec 2016, 03:14pm by Aaron Schatz
Today's edition of the Off The Charts podcast covers the recent improvements in both Green Bay and Tampa Bay, and looks through this year's MVP candidates. Find out why I'm seriously promoting Justin Tucker as one of the five most valuable players in the NFL this season. No, really.
15 Dec 2016, 01:23pm by Aaron Schatz
New ESPN Insider feature, using FO and ESPN stats to measure offensive lines in both pass blocking and run blocking. New Orleans is a surprising No. 1, because Dallas allows more pass pressure than you probably realize. One of the teams playing tonight is in the bottom five; surprisingly, one of tonight's teams is not.
1 comment, Last at 16 Dec 2016, 6:46am by eggwasp
14 Dec 2016, 06:12pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's this week's ESPN playoff odds commentary, looking at an odd week where lots of games have major seeding ramifications but only one has major ramifications as far as whether both teams make it into the playoffs or not.