17 Aug 2016, 09:45am by Aaron Schatz
Over on ESPN Insider, I take a look at the eight last-place teams from 2015 and which one is most likely to make the postseason according to our playoff odds simulation. Things are looking good for Dallas, and San Diego's going to be in the playoff race too. San Francisco and Cleveland, not so much.
10 Aug 2016, 05:56pm by Aaron Schatz
It's time to say goodbye to another Football Outsiders writer, but this one is going to try to win football games instead of just writing about them. (Click to read more.)
22 comments, Last at 19 Aug 2016, 7:47pm by Sisyphus
02 Aug 2016, 11:19am by Aaron Schatz
Look, it's our annual Top 25 Prospects list, as also seen in the brand-new Football Outsiders Almanac 2016. This is our annual list of players who were not top draft picks, haven't played much yet, but still may play major roles in the NFL in the coming years. The top three are RB David Johnson of Arizona, DE Danielle Hunter of Minnesota, and DE Henry Anderson of Indianapolis.
This is the tenth anniversary of the Top 25 Prospects list, so I'm sure we'll be writing some sort of retrospective on the site before the new season begins.
1 comment, Last at 03 Aug 2016, 12:37pm by jklps
01 Aug 2016, 02:54pm by Aaron Schatz
You can now download our new book, Football Outsiders Almanac 2016. (Click to read more.)
16 comments, Last at 10 Aug 2016, 12:35pm by jtr
27 Jul 2016, 07:21pm by Aaron Schatz
One-year deal for $12 million according to Ian Rapoport. Good for the Jets. Too late to update anything in our book, though.
16 comments, Last at 13 Aug 2016, 12:17am by LionInAZ
25 Jul 2016, 05:06pm by Aaron Schatz
With the release of Football Outsiders Almanac 2016 now one week away, we've uploaded this year's sample chapter on the New York Giants. Plus, an update on our discussion forums. (Click to read more.)
8 comments, Last at 01 Aug 2016, 2:53pm by Aaron Schatz
22 Jul 2016, 10:38am by Aaron Schatz
It's not yet official because of an appeal, but Le'Veon Bell is facing a four-game suspension for another violation of league drug policy. This time, it's for missing a test, not for failing one. A four-game suspension would be a big deal, both for real football (Pittsburgh is a leading Super Bowl contender) and fantasy football (depending on your league scoring, Bell or Todd Gurley will be the No. 1 running back in our KUBIAK projections before considering the suspension).
36 comments, Last at 03 Sep 2016, 1:15pm by erniecohen
22 Jul 2016, 12:22am by Aaron Schatz
J.J. Watt suffered a herniated disc working out this week and had to undergo back surgery, and will be out 6-10 weeks. Reports now seem to be leaning on the longer side of that range, which would keep Watt out for the first few weeks of the season. This could be hugely impactful, given how close the AFC South is. There's no division where the four teams are closer together in quality right now. You also have to remember that the Texans still aren't sure who is going to replace Jared Crick. Now they might need two new 5-technique ends for the first month of the season. Yikes.
7 comments, Last at 25 Jul 2016, 12:32pm by ChrisS
20 Jul 2016, 12:52pm by Aaron Schatz
Part II of a preview of the Strategic Tendencies comments and some of the other stats you'll find in the upcoming Football Outsiders Almanac 2016. We've gone through and found one positive number for each offense in 2015. Some of these splits are significant for illuminating the strengths and weaknesses of each team's personnel. Other splits tend to oscillate wildly from year to year, and a great performance in 2015 may not indicate that a team will be equally strong in the same ways in 2016.
1 comment, Last at 20 Jul 2016, 2:37pm by Parmenides
18 Jul 2016, 12:37pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's a bit of a preview of the Strategic Tendencies comments and some of the other stats you'll find in the upcoming Football Outsiders Almanac 2016. We've gone through and found one positive number for each offense in 2015. Some of these splits are significant for illuminating the strengths and weaknesses of each team's personnel. Other splits tend to oscillate wildly from year to year, and a great performance in 2015 may not indicate that a team will be equally strong in the same ways in 2016.