15 Nov 2016, 10:06pm by Aaron Schatz
Seattle's victory over the Patriots sets up another No. 1 vs. No. 2 DVOA battle for next Sunday. Plus: What if the second-best team in the AFC doesn't actually play in the AFC West?
101 comments, Last at 19 Nov 2016, 4:34pm by DezBailey
14 Nov 2016, 12:52pm by Aaron Schatz
Interesting graphic over at Over The Cap, where Jason Fitzgerald shows how each team's cap spending in 2016 compares to its DVOA at the midway point of the season. What on earth are the Jets doing?
10 comments, Last at 12 Dec 2016, 4:46am by marson
10 Nov 2016, 05:55pm by Aaron Schatz
This week on the Off The Charts Podcast you'll get a lot of discussion of the NFC North and AFC West. How much of a problem is the Minnesota offensive line? Why does DVOA hate Detroit's defense so much? And why is Oakland still behind Denver in our ratings? (Click for audio link.)
10 Nov 2016, 01:57pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's a look at the schedule the rest of the way, both opponents and home/road splits. Schedule will keep Buffalo and San Diego in the wild-card race, and may hurt both Washington and Philadelphia compared to division rivals Dallas and New York.
09 Nov 2016, 06:26pm by Aaron Schatz
Here's the weekly playoff odds report on ESPN.com, with a look at Oakland on the cusp of finally breaking its 13-year streak of missing the postseason.
08 Nov 2016, 08:14pm by Aaron Schatz
The year of no great teams continues. The 4-4 Eagles are the worst team to ever rank No. 1 at midseason, and the 5-3 Texans are the worst team in DVOA to ever have a winning record at midseason (with Detroit not far behind).
57 comments, Last at 15 Nov 2016, 8:47pm by DezBailey
04 Nov 2016, 11:22am by Aaron Schatz
Today's ESPN Insider feature looks at which offenses are the best at "staying on schedule" by getting consistent gains and keeping favorable down-and-distance situations. Dallas, New Orleans, and Atlanta are near the top of the league, with Baltimore, Minnesota, and Seattle near the bottom.
03 Nov 2016, 03:59pm by Aaron Schatz
This week on the Off The Charts podcast we discuss whether the Patriots are the best team in the NFL and whether the Chiefs are better than anyone realizes. Plus: who are the favorites for the NFC wild cards, and which teams currently out of the top six can make a run? (Click for audio link.)
02 Nov 2016, 12:09pm by Aaron Schatz
Here is this week's playoff odds commentary on ESPN Insider, with a look at the most important games of Week 9 and the tight race for the No. 2 seed in the NFC. (Note: Link now fixed.)
01 Nov 2016, 06:53pm by Aaron Schatz
There are good explanations for why Philadelphia is still No. 1 in DVOA, and why New England isn't No. 1 yet. But there's no good explanation for why so many field goal kickers are struggling in 2016, especially on clutch kicks.
98 comments, Last at 06 Nov 2016, 1:42pm by CaffeineMan