07 Dec 2016, 02:29am by Aaron Schatz
The weekly playoff odds commentary on ESPN Insider goes further in depth on just how important Thursday's Oakland-Kansas City game is for determining who represents the AFC in Super Bowl LI, plus notes on all the other teams still contending for the postseason.
06 Dec 2016, 07:13pm by Aaron Schatz
The New England Patriots climb to No. 1 in DVOA, but they aren't a great team, because this is The Year of No Great Teams. In fact, no No. 1 team in any week of DVOA has ever been rated lower. (Note: Table errors fixed as of Wed. morning.)
76 comments, Last at 13 Dec 2016, 7:34pm by DezBailey
02 Dec 2016, 06:02pm by Aaron Schatz
This week's Off The Charts podcast looks at the top five teams in DVOA, and their strengths and weaknesses. There's a special look at updated playoff odds that account for Thursday night's Minnesota loss as well as Rob Gronkowski's injury. Finally, a deeper look at Sunday's huge Baltimore-Miami game.
02 Dec 2016, 01:57pm by Aaron Schatz
Is the AFC South of 2016 the worst division since the NFL went to a four-team, eight-division setup in 2002? Or does that title belong to the NFC West in one of any number of awful years?
1 comment, Last at 07 Dec 2016, 1:46am by DanielBrown
30 Nov 2016, 10:54am by Aaron Schatz
Here's this week's ESPN Insider odds commentary, going through all of the teams still in the playoff race. The Miami at Baltimore game this week is huge and fascinating, given the quality of the Ravens run defense.
29 Nov 2016, 08:04pm by Aaron Schatz
Two new teams rise to No. 1: Atlanta in total DVOA, Dallas in weighted DVOA. Neither comes close to the No. 1 teams of years past. But one unit this year is challenging for all-time greatness: the Baltimore run defense.
70 comments, Last at 06 Dec 2016, 2:47pm by DezBailey
23 Nov 2016, 05:01pm by Aaron Schatz
This week's Off The Charts Podcast goes in depth with previews of the Thanksgiving games, plus a look at how Seattle has structured the roster to stay on top of our DVOA ratings for five years. (Click for audio link.)
2 comments, Last at 13 Jan 2017, 4:50am by isyjewyfa
22 Nov 2016, 08:11pm by Aaron Schatz
Our weekly commentary on the FO playoff odds over at ESPN Insider moves up a day starting this week. Today, get some insight on why Kansas City is more likely than Denver to win the AFC West, why the NFC East is probably taking two wild cards, and why this Thursday is the best lineup of Thanksgiving games in a long, long time.
22 Nov 2016, 07:34pm by Aaron Schatz
The second annual DVOA Bowl puts us on very familiar ground, as the Seattle Seahawks return to the No. 1 spot. Plus, a look at which "skill players" have faced the hardest and easiest schedules in 2016, based on DVOA opponent adjustments.
57 comments, Last at 25 Nov 2016, 2:24pm by DezBailey
21 Nov 2016, 02:45pm by Aaron Schatz
Nice video profile of Seattle general manager John Schneider by Michael Silver of NFL.com. Why yes, that is a copy of Football Outsiders Almanac on his desk!
11 comments, Last at 12 Dec 2016, 4:45am by marson