Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

11 Sep 2014, 11:16am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Pittsburgh Can Win the AFC North

Look, it's a sort-of-summarized version of the Pittsburgh chapter from Football Outsiders Almanac 2014!

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09 Sep 2014, 04:20pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 1 DVOA Ratings

We always say not to jump to conclusions about a team's true quality after a Week 1 loss. But the meaning of one loss to a team's playoff chances are another issue entirely.

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112 comments, Last at 23 Sep 2014, 2:09pm by

07 Sep 2014, 07:31pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Chargers a Super Bowl Sleeper

To get you ready for the season premiere of Monday Night Football, here's a piece on why the FO projections say San Diego is the best Super Bowl contender nobody is talking about.

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06 Sep 2014, 04:15pm by Aaron Schatz

SITE NEWS: Updated Playoff Odds

Apologies, but due to an error in the re-written playoff odds program, the playoff odds we originally ran with our DVOA projections on Wednesday were slightly incorrect. (The NFC was mistakenly given home-field advantage in the Super Bowl; the three London games were also not coded as neutral-site games.) We have corrected these issues, added the Green Bay-Seattle game as final, and re-run the playoff odds for you to enjoy.

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2 comments, Last at 08 Sep 2014, 10:52am by RickD

05 Sep 2014, 09:59am by Aaron Schatz

Football Outsiders Stars Return to Madden Ultimate Team!

Once again for 2014, we're partnering with EA Sports to bring special Football Outsiders-branded items to Madden 15 Ultimate Team. Find out the first five players to go into packs this weekend. (Click to read more.)

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04 Sep 2014, 05:49pm by Aaron Schatz

SITE NEWS: Important Note for FO Premium Subscribers

If you are an FO Premium subscriber, you can receive an e-mail whenever we update the FO Premium picks with a new week's worth of games. To do this, please go to your My Account page. At the top, look for the link under "Manage Subscriptions." Check the box for "Premium Notification" and save.

And thanks to all of you who subscribe.

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03 Sep 2014, 05:02pm by Aaron Schatz

2014 DVOA Projections

Our annual DVOA projections are all about probabilities. Thanks in part to their less competitive conference, Denver has the highest probability of walking away from this season as Super Bowl XLIX champion.

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77 comments, Last at 23 Sep 2014, 2:14pm by

02 Sep 2014, 03:16pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Aaron Schatz on the B.S. Report

Hey kids, B.S. Report! Bill Simmons and I talk about the upcoming season, including our picks for the top teams competing for the Super Bowl, the most likely unexpected Super Bowl contender (we're both on San Diego), and the most likely team to go through a "hell season" (Bill says San Francisco, I say Arizona).

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6 comments, Last at 08 Sep 2014, 10:02pm by v3456d

02 Sep 2014, 03:05pm by Aaron Schatz

SITE NEWS: Come Join the 2014 Loser League!

It's time for the TENTH ANNUAL Football Outsiders Open Loser League competition. Yes, tenth. Kind of nutty. And we haven't changed the rules at all in all that time. Even though we probably should. We're lazy that way. Come pick your roster of bad (but not bad enough to get benched) players for the first half of 2014, with a shot at winning free fantasy projections for 2015. Let's see how many of you can do this without Trent Richardson on your team.

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5 comments, Last at 08 Sep 2014, 10:20pm by v3456d

31 Aug 2014, 01:53pm by Aaron Schatz

Patriots Deal Ryan Mallett to Houston

Well, that was a long wait. The Patriots have dealt Ryan Mallett to Houston for a sixth-round pick. I still think grabbing Mallett in the third round of the 2011 draft was a good gamble, it was just a gamble that didn't work out as hoped. Better a sixth-round pick than nothing, I suppose. Houston now has to decide if they want to try to extend Mallett, or do they just wait to see if he ends up playing later this year and how he does.

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42 comments, Last at 08 Sep 2014, 10:19pm by v3456d