06 Aug 2014, 03:01pm by Aaron Schatz
Why our no-huddle offense numbers aren't fully trustworthy. (Click to read more.)
2 comments, Last at 07 Aug 2014, 2:19am by Jerry
06 Aug 2014, 09:39am by Aaron Schatz
Hey, kids! Podcasts! Yesterday I recorded an episode of the Sports-Casters podcast to promote Football Outsiders Almanac 2014. This one actually got deep into a discussion of the different kinds of NFL analytics and how Football Outsiders differs from other site. Hopefully I didn't get loopy and say anything obnoxious. I'll have a couple of other podcast links in the next couple days that we'll add to this post as we continue to promote the book.
05 Aug 2014, 12:12pm by Aaron Schatz
Part II of II. We actually measured here the chances of first-place teams dropping to 6-10 or worse, not their chances of finishing fourth this year, which does explain how Indianapolis can end up second on this list. Let's be honest -- even if they somehow flop to 6-10, the Colts aren't finishing last in that division. The clearly most likely first-to-worst team is Carolina.
10 comments, Last at 08 Sep 2014, 10:02pm by v3456d
04 Aug 2014, 12:19pm by Aaron Schatz
Time for another edition of America's favorite game show, "try to figure out the language of new NFL contracts." Right now, all we know is that Andy Dalton has been signed to a "six-year, $115 million" extension. How is it structured? Can the Bengals get out of it if Dalton doesn't improve his game? How does this contract compare to the one Colin Kaepernick recently signed? Right now, who knows? Bring on the leaked details, baby.
28 comments, Last at 05 Aug 2014, 3:47pm by commissionerleaf
01 Aug 2014, 03:20pm by Aaron Schatz
Some roster changes here at Football Outsiders. (Click to read more.)
6 comments, Last at 02 Aug 2014, 2:21pm by Rivers McCown
31 Jul 2014, 12:08pm by Aaron Schatz
Special FOA 2014 guest author Jason Lisk goes on the 49ers Webzone "Better Rivals" podcast to discuss the San Francisco chapter. His interview begins at 0:57.
31 Jul 2014, 11:19am by Aaron Schatz
We simulated the season moving Arizona around to every division to see what happened. The result? Their Super Bowl odds would go up 60 percent in the AFC South. It's also good these days to live in the AFC North and NFC East. The NFC West, not so much.
2 comments, Last at 31 Jul 2014, 3:14pm by willybhu
28 Jul 2014, 03:49pm by Aaron Schatz
Any team can win the Super Bowl in any given year. What would it look like for the league's worst team to somehow win it?
32 comments, Last at 23 Sep 2014, 2:24pm by
25 Jul 2014, 10:15am by Aaron Schatz
Football Outsiders Almanac 2014 is now on sale both in print and on PDF. Click here to find out more about this year's big book.
22 Jul 2014, 10:33am by Aaron Schatz
Here's another preview of Football Outsiders Almanac 2014 while you anxiously wait for tomorrow night's release. Once again this year, our Top 25 Prospects list is also running on ESPN Insider. This is our list of promising lower-drafted (or undrafted) young players who haven't yet gotten much playing time. This year's top five: Andre Ellington, Travis Kelce, Damontre Moore, Jordan Reed, and Terron Armstead.