Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

09 Dec 2014, 02:14pm by Aaron Schatz

Cam Newton in Serious Car Accident

Cam Newton was injured in a major car accident in Charlotte today as his truck crashed into another automobile near I-277 and flipped over. UPDATE: The Panthers say Newton is in fair condition and was taken to the hospital as a precaution more than anything else. That's nice to hear.

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45 comments, Last at 01 Jun 2015, 5:38am by loveworth1

09 Dec 2014, 02:01pm by Aaron Schatz

Flipper Anderson's Receiving Record

Alan Siegel talks to a number of late-80s Rams about the night Flipper Anderson set the all-time NFL record with 336 receiving yards. It still has never been surpassed.

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7 comments, Last at 01 Jun 2015, 5:38am by loveworth1

06 Dec 2014, 11:33am by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Where Contenders Get Beat

Today's ESPN Insider article looks at the biggest coverage weaknesses of top contenders, not by looking at specific defenders but rather by looking at scheme. That means using FO's DVOA "vs. types as receivers" as well as a new table we're debuting today that lists defensive DVOA vs. passes by distance and direction: short/deep as well as left/middle/right. You will now find that table on the team defense stat page and are welcome to discuss here. Thanks to John Argentiero for setting up the Excel macros that made producing that table easier. We'll be updating it each week through the end of the regular season.

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02 Dec 2014, 07:21pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 13 DVOA Ratings

New England keeps inching closer to No. 1 Denver in our weighted DVOA ratings, and Green Bay keeps inching away from the rest of the NFC.

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182 comments, Last at 06 Dec 2014, 7:37pm by LionInAZ

25 Nov 2014, 06:13pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 12 DVOA Ratings

Denver remains No. 1 in the Football Outsiders DVOA ratings, but New England moves up to No. 2 and has taken over as our Super Bowl favorite.

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181 comments, Last at 04 Dec 2014, 7:22am by Jerry

20 Nov 2014, 05:37pm by Aaron Schatz

Jets-Bills Rescheduled for Monday Night in Detroit

The NFL has announced that this week's Jets-Bills game will not be played Sunday due to nine zillion feet of snow in Buffalo. It will be moved, probably to Monday night and either to Detroit or Washington. Because if there's any town filled with Bills fans, it's Washington. And by "filled with Bills fans," I mean, "Tim Russert's kid."

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31 comments, Last at 01 Jun 2015, 5:46am by loveworth1

20 Nov 2014, 12:40pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Brees Isn't Problem for Saints

If the Saints are only 4-6, then Drew Brees must be struggling, right? Nope.

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19 Nov 2014, 01:15pm by Aaron Schatz

NFL Should Expand to Canada, Mexico, and L.A. First

Can't believe I missed this when Nate Silver threw it up last week, since it is one of my favorite subjects. I love to discuss expansion possibilities, and I feel bad for cities that don't get to have NFL football. But I also think the logistics of a London franchise would be awful. Silver here tries to estimate the NFL fan base of two dozen different possible expansion markets and points out what I think is mind-numbingly obvious. If you want to expand to another country, we happen to have two very nice countries directly to the north and south of us that already have larger established football fanbases.

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42 comments, Last at 01 Jun 2015, 5:46am by loveworth1

19 Nov 2014, 01:09pm by Aaron Schatz

Will NFL Broadcasts Ever Embrace Advanced Stats?

Long article today by Richard Deitsch asking if advanced stats will ever be used on NFL broadcasts. Includes a lot of interview with me, since this question is a passion of mine. To summarize my feelings on the issue: 1) The goal is really not getting advanced stats onto game broadcasts, but rather to get commentators to understand the ideas behind those stats; 2) studio shows are a better place for advanced stats than broadcasts themselves; 3) I'm available.

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22 comments, Last at 01 Jun 2015, 5:46am by loveworth1

18 Nov 2014, 08:03pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 11 DVOA Ratings

Denver is still No. 1, but as the weakest first-place team in DVOA history. Tampa Bay is almost the strongest last-place team in DVOA history. And Arizona is still inexplicably No. 15 at 9-1. Ball of confusion: that's what DVOA is today. Hey hey.

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185 comments, Last at 25 Nov 2014, 3:20am by ronnyo