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Top 5 Total DVOA

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (52.0%)
  2. IND (33.1%)
  3. DAL (24.3%)
  4. JAC (23.7%)
  5. GB (21.2%)

Top 5 Offense

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (42.6%)
  2. IND (28.3%)
  3. JAC (20.7%)
  4. DAL (19.0%)
  5. GB (17.3%)

Top 5 Defense

2007 FINAL

  1. TEN (-13.4%)
  2. PIT (-12.3%)
  3. IND (-10.7%)
  4. TB (-10.2%)
  5. SD (-9.8%)

Top 5 Special Teams

2007 FINAL

  1. CHI (9.3%)
  2. CLE (6.9%)
  3. HOU (5.7%)
  4. SF (4.5%)
  5. SD (4.5%)
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1995 DVOA Ratings and Commentary

Come back with us to the year a young Brett Favre won his first MVP award and engineered a playoff upset over the team that led the league in DVOA.

posted 3-6-2008 at 2:54 PM by Aaron Schatz || DVOA Ratings || 132 Comments
»Last commented by Carlos at 3-9-2008 at 9:45 PM


New York’s DVOA Streak

Here’s a look at DVOA ratings for the conference championships. How historic is New York’s four-game streak of great games? And by how much have the Giants outplayed the Patriots over the same stretch? (Hint: Actually, they haven’t.)

posted 1-23-2008 at 2:32 PM by Aaron Schatz || DVOA Ratings || 153 Comments
»Last commented by Jon Coit at 1-28-2008 at 9:52 AM


2008 Postseason DVOA II

Does the Giants appearance in the NFC Championship game prove their mediocre regular-season DVOA was an error? No. Have we ever seen a team turn things around in the playoffs like this? Yes. Plus: The Patriots re-establish their dominance over the rest of the NFL.

posted 1-15-2008 at 4:06 PM by Aaron Schatz || DVOA Ratings || 111 Comments
»Last commented by terry at 1-18-2008 at 12:26 AM


2008 Postseason DVOA I

Here are weighted DVOA ratings, updated through the wild card round. Seven of the eight best teams according to these ratings are still in the postseason, with the Giants way, way down below — even though their win over Tampa Bay had the best single-game DVOA of the weekend.

posted 1-8-2008 at 2:42 PM by Aaron Schatz || DVOA Ratings || 117 Comments
»Last commented by Jake at 1-9-2008 at 9:37 AM


Final 2007 DVOA Ratings

The top 10 teams in the final regular-season DVOA ratings all make the playoffs, including the top six teams in the AFC. The 16-0 Patriots set all kinds of DVOA records, with the best total and offensive DVOA ever recorded, while the Tennessee defense ranks first and 59th at the same time.

posted 12-31-2007 at 4:58 PM by Aaron Schatz || DVOA Ratings || 142 Comments
»Last commented by black at 12-31-2007 at 8:46 PM


Week 16 DVOA Ratings

The Patriots stay on top, but could the second-best team in football right now really be the Jacksonville Jaguars? Plus: Green Bay tumbles, the 49ers climb out of the gutters of history, and defensive parity gets even stronger. NOTE: Both DVOA Premium and Loser League are now updated through Week 16.

posted 12-25-2007 at 1:20 PM by Aaron Schatz || DVOA Ratings || 149 Comments
»Last commented by Fred Farmer at 12-28-2007 at 2:08 PM


Week 15 DVOA Ratings

The Patriots join the long history of great teams whose DVOA rating dropped after Week 15. The Steelers and Jaguars are going in opposite directions. And seriously, why is Cincinnati’s DVOA so darn high this year?

posted 12-18-2007 at 3:26 PM by Aaron Schatz || DVOA Ratings || 116 Comments
»Last commented by Rich Conley at 12-20-2007 at 5:26 PM


Week 14 DVOA Ratings

Thanks for waiting through our technical difficulties, DVOA fans. The Patriots still have the best DVOA rating ever, the Vikings keep climbing, and in the commentary, learn which two teams have played the three worst DVOA games of the year over the past two weeks. NOTE: PREMIUM DATABASE UPDATED AS OF 4 PM THURSDAY

posted 12-12-2007 at 12:56 PM by Aaron Schatz || DVOA Ratings || 190 Comments
»Last commented by Starshatterer at 12-14-2007 at 8:50 AM


Week 13 DVOA Ratings

Hey, remember last week when the Patriots almost lost to Philadelphia, and it didn’t affect DVOA? Yeah, it didn’t quite work that way this week. Plus: Jacksonville is so inconsistent that their inconsistency has no consistency, and check out the new Premium matchup view.

posted 12-4-2007 at 3:30 PM by Aaron Schatz || DVOA Ratings || 163 Comments
»Last commented by mactbone at 12-7-2007 at 10:22 AM


Week 12 DVOA Ratings

Wondering how much Sunday night’s surprising near-loss to the Eagles dropped New England’s DVOA rating? Would you believe the answer is “not much at all?” The top eight teams all stay basically the same, while good things are happening in Minnesota and Ohio.

posted 11-27-2007 at 4:13 PM by Aaron Schatz || DVOA Ratings || 161 Comments
»Last commented by Starshatterer at 11-30-2007 at 8:44 PM


Week 11 DVOA Ratings

Every NFC East team moves up, while the Broncos and Chiefs sneak up on the Chargers, the Titans take a tumble, and the Steelers take over first place in defense despite losing. We also bring you the first week-to-week graph of 2007, comparing the Pats to the last two teams to make a run at the perfect season.

posted 11-20-2007 at 4:26 PM by Aaron Schatz || DVOA Ratings || 207 Comments
»Last commented by JoshuaPerry at 11-25-2007 at 7:54 AM


Week 10 DVOA Ratings

And then, there was only one. With the Colts hit by injuries, the Pats stand head and shoulders above the rest of the NFL. On the other side, one team has forced us to ponder the worst DVOA ratings ever. Plus: The long-awaited “squib to Hester” analysis.

posted 11-13-2007 at 4:39 PM by Aaron Schatz || DVOA Ratings || 186 Comments
»Last commented by John Kapica at 4-23-2008 at 11:24 AM


Week 9 DVOA Ratings

The Pats and Colts play the game that DVOA expected, while the Steelers and Cowboys score prime time blowouts to give us a dramatically dominant top four. Actually, it is a dominant four-and-a-half, because the Titans defense is climbing into rarefied air.

posted 11-6-2007 at 6:45 PM by Aaron Schatz || DVOA Ratings || 151 Comments
»Last commented by Thinker at 11-8-2007 at 8:22 AM


Week 8 DVOA Ratings

The Patriots have officially slipped the bonds of reality, the first team ever to have a DVOA over 70% later than Week 5. The Colts are the best team of the past dozen years other than the Patriots. Maybe the hype is warranted this time? Plus: San Diego returns to the top five and Tennessee’s defense widens its lead.

posted 10-30-2007 at 6:57 PM by Aaron Schatz || DVOA Ratings || 199 Comments
»Last commented by Greg at 11-1-2007 at 2:30 PM


Week 7 DVOA Ratings

Once again, the Patriots and Colts are 1-2 in this week’s DVOA ratings, and they are closer than you might think. In fact, the difference between them comes down to one unit: special teams — and, in particular, one very ironic position. And speaking of special teams, what is Seattle doing at number one?

posted 10-23-2007 at 4:32 PM by Aaron Schatz || DVOA Ratings || 177 Comments
»Last commented by Sid at 10-25-2007 at 6:19 PM


Week 6 DVOA Ratings

This week: The top six stay the same, San Diego and Carolina jump forward, and the NFC East rules while the NFC West is lousy again. We also continue to track where the Pats and Colts stand in the race for “best DVOA ever.”

posted 10-16-2007 at 1:02 PM by Aaron Schatz || DVOA Ratings || 211 Comments
»Last commented by Chris at 10-20-2007 at 10:57 AM


Week 5 DVOA Ratings

The historic dominance of the Colts and Patriots continues, but two 53-yard field goals can’t keep the Cowboys from falling off the pace — and into fourth place behind Pittsburgh.

posted 10-9-2007 at 2:50 PM by Aaron Schatz || DVOA Ratings || 195 Comments
»Last commented by Scott de B. at 10-9-2007 at 9:07 PM


Week 4 DVOA Ratings

New England blows away the league with the greatest start of the DVOA Era. Dallas and Indianapolis are right behind, and… wait… is that Arizona in the top ten? Oh, will the wonders of DVOA ever cease?

posted 10-2-2007 at 3:32 PM by Aaron Schatz || DVOA Ratings || 220 Comments
»Last commented by Ted Thompson at 10-6-2007 at 4:33 PM


Week 3 DVOA Ratings

Hey, remember when the projection system said that Tampa Bay would win the NFC South and New Orleans was a one-year wonder? Remember how we all assumed the numbers were incorrect? Whoops. Plus: Historic starts in New England, Pittsburgh, and Dallas.

posted 9-25-2007 at 1:56 PM by Aaron Schatz || DVOA Ratings || 166 Comments
»Last commented by SuperGrover at 9-28-2007 at 2:52 AM


Week 2 DVOA Ratings

New England and Pittsburgh reign supreme, while last year’s two miracle teams sit at the bottom. This week’s (very extended) commentary looks at past teams who defied their projections early, to find out what history says about hope in Houston and pessimism in Philadelphia. Note: DEN, OAK, PHI, WAS now fixed.

posted 9-18-2007 at 12:56 PM by Aaron Schatz || DVOA Ratings || 153 Comments
»Last commented by deltadave at 9-21-2007 at 9:16 PM


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