18 Aug 2010
Two things are certain regarding conference expansion: 1) When it happens, it happens very quickly. 2) Don't even bother trying to figure out what happens next.
It appears that Fresno State is about to accept an invitation to join the Mountain West, and Nevada is about to do the same. This comes the same day that the Salt Lake Tribune reported that BYU was a "done deal" to leave the Mountain West, go independent for football, and move to the WAC for all other sports. When it happens, it happens very quickly.
So now the question becomes this: is BYU still committed to leaving the Mountain West? Nothing is official yet -- would a stronger Mountain West convince them to stay? If not, then here are the current (well, future) rosters for the two conferences:
[UPDATE]: Boise State - managed to forget them
San Diego State
New Mexico State
San Jose State
First of all, if that is the WAC, then the WAC is not a real conference. For better or worse, there will be more moves. Maybe UTEP gets pulled over (it makes sense geographically, but ... well, why would they go to that conference?), or others from Conference USA. Maybe UC Davis or Cal Poly or a Big Sky team moves up. Still, yikes.
Next, is the Mountain West through making moves? Do they move in on some of the better (and western) Conference USA programs to get to 10 or 12? Will that help their TV revenue? Oh right, don't even bother trying to figure out what happens next.
22 comments, Last at 20 Aug 2010, 8:30pm by mm
New England takes over the top spot in DVOA, one of six undefeated teams that give us an almost 1-in-10 chance of a team going 16-0 in 2015. Cincinnati and Atlanta battling in the first all-undefeated Super Bowl? It could happen.