27 May 2011
I figured the latest of my SBN team profiles would be a particularly interesting one to share here. Texas A&M is quickly gaining steam as this year's unanimous darkhorse, and I took a look at how legitimate they will be in 2011, how they're being overrated by analysts, and how they're likely to be underrated by our Football Outsiders Almanac 2011 projections.
I will say this, however: as overrated as they will likely be in the preseason polls, they will likely be just as underrated in our Football Outsiders Almanac 2011 projections. They will be expected to regress partially back toward their four-year rank, and maybe that's what will happen, but the gains that the numbers will see as unsustainable could hold steady a bit. The offense really did improve by about five (schedule-adjusted) points with Tannehill at quarterback, and obviously certain gains for which DeRuyter was responsible are not flukes. The projections will likely have A&M in the No. 25-30 range when they have probably earned 10-20.
Other recent SBN and Football Study Hall links:
Summer Vacation: A 2011 Preview Series
Golden Boys And The UCLA Bruins
The Virginia Cavaliers And The Number One
Sold Souls And The Purdue Boilermakers
The Kansas Jayhawks And Unintended Schadenfreude
The Louisville Cardinals And The Value Of Experience
Adversarial Statistics And The Northwestern Wildcats
Optimists, Pessimists, And The Washington Huskies
The Minnesota Golden Gophers And Glen Mason Territory
The Kansas State Wildcats And An Active Retirement
The Colorado Buffaloes And The Reunion Tour
The Buffalo Bulls And A Socialist Utopia
1 comment, Last at 28 May 2011, 12:05pm by Jeff M.
Possibly the closest Super Bowl matchup in history also poses the question: how much does it mean when certain aspects of an NFL team improve dramatically in the second half of the season?