Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

23 Sep 2010

1 PPR - Pick 2 WR, 2 RB, 1 FLEX

1 PPR, 2 WR 2 RB required. Flex can be RB or WR. Here are the players I'm considering, along with their NFL.com projections this week for my league. I can make arguments against all these guys, although in the end of the day I think I'm going to be left with a good problem to have.

Andre Johnson --- 19.00
Reggie Wayne ---- 21.60
Roddy White ----- 24.10

Matt Forte ------ 30.10
Joseph Addai ---- 17.90
LeSean McCoy ---- 10.90

I also have a waiver claim in on Jonathan Stewart, so let's consider him (no NFL.com proj avail). (Yes, someone dropped Jonathan Stewart. The same guy who drafted D. Clark in the 1st round.)

As you can imagine, I went WR-WR-WR in first three rounds. And I've been kicking ass!

ANDRE: Tweaked ankle, but man, it's fun rooting for a Texans player on my fantasy team for once. Also, he's facing a 3-4 defense, which Houston ALWAYS struggles against - plus, DeMarcus Ware against a player who couldn't beat out Duane Brown for the starting LT job. Matt Schaub probably already has time booked with with the trainer's room, so I'm not liking Andre's chances as much as some might.

WAYNE: Probably the guy I feel best about, although he'll probably see his fair share of a still pretty good Champ Bailey. I worry about Manning hitting up other good receivers against a garbage defense, and running out of reasons to look for Reggie Wayne before the game is out of hand.

WHITE: Against an over-rated defense, although an under-rated CB. Matt Ryan locks onto the guy and forces him passes, which hurts me starting Matt Ryan, but as far as Roddy White is concerned, it's nothing but good things. (Unless Ryan is killing drives by throwing INTs).

FORTE: I think NFL.com is probably getting a little too enthusiastic about Matt Forte. He's facing a pretty good DL in Green Bay this week, and although that should mean he's catching even more passes than usual (quite helpful in a 1 PPR league), with that horrible OL it could also mean he's in protection schemes a bit too. Not sure how Martz works with that sort of stuff. The 30.1 pt projection is pretty high (39 in Wk1, 17 in Wk2). I think a reproduction of his results from the Dallas game (17 pts) would be a pretty hopeful projection - he had a receiving TD in that game, against a 3-4 team.

MCCOY: Mike Vick's installation has made me drop Kolb (which saved me the trouble of sorting out my Kolb/Ryan situation for their Week 8 byes) in favor of Garrard, but I think that is a good thing for LeSean McCoy - although Jacksonville may have a LB in spy, which I'm not sure the impact on McCoy would be, especially on play action. I think NFL.com is really under-rating him here, though.

ADDAI: Against Denver, he could get a lot of carries. I have yet to start him this season. He's splitting the backfield, but against a horrible defense and a team that is going to be distracted all week. I think the distraction will be less than the media makes it out to be, but they aren't a good defense to begin with. Could get 25 touches.

Posted by: socctty on 23 Sep 2010

1 reply , Last at 23 Sep 2010, 11:45am by boone88rr

1
Re: 1 PPR - Pick 2 WR, 2 RB, 1 FLEX
by boone88rr :: Thu, 09/23/2010 - 11:45am

I think you need to be starting all your WR pretty much every week.

You have three RB2s, playing the matchups I think you have to go Forte and McCoy this week. Addai sat out practice yesterday. This game reeks of a classic Addai game with him sitting the second half due to injury and they're up 21 and Donald Brown is running the clock down. All that said, he could score three TDs in the first half before he leaves.

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