21 Aug 2009
Hey all, was looking for some feedback on a draft strategy question since my draft is this Sunday.
I play in a 10 team league that starts: QB,QB,RB,RB,WR,WR,WR,TE,K. 6 pts for all TDs; 1 pt per 25 yards for QBs; 1 pt per 10 yards for RB/WR/TE.
I have the #2 pick overall and I know Peterson is going #1. Putting my league settings into KUBIAK it shows Brady as the #1 rated player and I was likely going to draft him before I purchased KUBIAK, so I was happy KUBIAK was reinforcing my instincts. However, looking at the rest of the top 10, MJD is ranked #6, Rivers #4, and Rodgers #8. I've been drafting with these guys since HS (almost 10 years now) and for whatever reason, even though we start 2 QBs, only about 5 QBs go in the first two rounds combined. Plus, with Matt Berry's new manifesto I know there is a lot of buzz about WRs going off the board early this year. In short, if I take MJD at #2 overall, there is a very good chance I could end up with both Rivers and Rodgers in rounds 2 and 3, respectively. And to be honest, if I took MJD #2 overall the worst case scenario would be getting Rivers in round 2 and then choosing the best available player in round 3.
If I took Brady in round 1, I would probably still have a very good shot at Rodgers or Rivers in rd 2, but since I would be taking Brady #2, there is a good chance a mini QB gets started. Even if this happens, the best RB I would land would be someone like Jacobs, Gore, or Ronnie Brown (or Westbrook/Portis if I ignore their KUBIAK ranking.)
Essentially, do I pass over the #1 rated player on my board (Brady) at pick #2 in favor of the #6 player on my board (MJD), because there is a very strong possibility that I can land the #4 player on my board at pick 19 and the #8 player on my board at pick 22?
Obviously there is a chance something wacky happens, however I am very confident based on many years of drafting with these guys that I would at least start off with MJD and Rivers/Rodgers.
6 replies , Last at 25 Aug 2009, 6:11pm by Yadda3x