Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

28 Aug 2013

ARI Pass attempts/Pass targets discrepancy

I was comparing the pass attempts to pass targets in KUBIAK and I found that KUBIAK projects Carson Palmer to throw 574 times this season, however the aggregate for all receivers (WR,RB,TE) only amounts to 497 targets. I understand these are probably median projections for each player, but this is literally the only team with this kind of discrepancy. MIA and IND also have a negative attempt/target ratio, but they are minor. What can this be attributed to, and is there any way to can make an adjustment on the next KUBIAK update to account for this? I think its odd and probably wrong that Fitzgerald, Roberts, Floyd, and Housler will receive fewer targets this season as a group than they did last year considering the new offensive system and the QB upgrade, however that is what KUBIAK is projecting. Thanks for any light you can shed on this discrepancy!

Posted by: shawn.aparo on 28 Aug 2013

1 reply , Last at 28 Aug 2013, 12:51pm by Aaron Schatz

Re: ARI Pass attempts/Pass targets discrepancy
by Aaron Schatz :: Wed, 08/28/2013 - 12:51pm

Some players with only a handful of targets are missing from KUBIAK. There will be a fourth receiver in Arizona, but who the heck knows who it is right now?

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