Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

06 Nov 2012

Ask the Scramble writers - Week 10!

Scramble for the Ball needs your fantasy football questions! Hit us with your trade queries, start/sit decisions, bye week fill-ins, league etiquette, or whatever else you may come up with. Use the comments here or hit the mailbag at Scramble -et- FootballOutsiders -dit- com.

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Posted by: Tom Gower on 06 Nov 2012

1 reply , Last at 09 Nov 2012, 4:03am by socctty

1
Re: Ask the Scramble writers - Week 10!
by socctty :: Fri, 11/09/2012 - 4:03am

It's too late for the article, but I'll ask here anyway, as it's week 10.

I've got to choose between CJ Spiller (@NE) and Ahmad Bradshaw (@CIN) in a 0.5 PPR league. The fantasy ranking guys are pretty clearly in favor of Spiller here (ranked around 9th) over Bradshaw (around 18th-20th), but I'm not sure I see it. FWIW, Yahoo has Bradshaw projected for about 1.5 more points. I think Yahoo may be right.

Bradshaw gets a pretty clear majority of NYG carries, and they're going against an inferior team. The only knocks against him are that he's had a foot issue the past few weeks that doesn't seem to be affecting his productivity in-game but keeps him out of practice, and Andre Brown has been getting goal line carries - possibly related to Bradshaw's foot issue.

Spiller is in a time share, and although there are rumors that he's going to be getting a bigger workload starting now, I'm kind of a wait and see guy. Spiller is more productive per touch, though. But then again, he's going against the Patriots, and he didn't do to well earlier in the season when they faced them. And the Pats are coming off a bye. Spiller is the more likely guy to go off for 30 points, but I'm not sure I see it in the cards.

To top it all off, CIN's rush defense is 26th according to FO, while NE is 4th. With RBs as receivers, NE (24) and CIN (26) are basically even, although NE averages just over 2 more pass attempts targeted to RBs per game than CIN does.

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