Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

21 Dec 2009

Ask the Scramble writers - Week 16!

It's championship week, at least in most leagues. All praise, glory (be it fleeting or eternal), and perhaps even prize money is on the line this week, and the difference could be making the right start-sit decision or waiver wire pickup. Scramble for the Ball is here to help you in your quest. Post your questions below, or hit the mailbag at Scramble -et- FootballOutsiders -dit- com. Those of you who are eliminated from the playoffs, feel free to ask non-fantasy questions too.

Posted by: Tom Gower on 21 Dec 2009

10 replies , Last at 27 Dec 2009, 12:23pm by Ten Drink Drunk

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Re: Ask the Scramble writers - Week 16!
by patriotsgirl :: Tue, 12/22/2009 - 8:53pm

Should I start 2 of Snelling (BUF), Holmes (BAL) and Bush (TB) over Reggie Wayne in my .5 PPR?

Reggie's normally a no-brainer, but the combination of Revis and Caldwell's ambiguous statements on the Colts starters gives me pause, particularly given that Holmes was great against BAL last time, and the Buffalo rush D is weak (this is assuming Turner isn't able to go, obviously).

Am I overthinking? Thanks in advance!

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Re: Ask the Scramble writers - Week 16!
by 49ers4tw (not verified) :: Tue, 12/22/2009 - 10:27pm

Championship time.

Should I start Ochocinco vs. KC or Sims-Walker @ NE?

All things equal, I would probably prefer Ochocinco, but KC is sneaky good against top WR's (#8 DVOA).

Sims-Walker has a great matchup @NE (#32 DVOA vs. top receivers), but hasn't done much on the road.

Thanks for the help!

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Re: Ask the Scramble writers - Week 16!
by Ten Drink Drunk :: Wed, 12/23/2009 - 1:12am

Good luck in the championships everyone.

I also have Reggie Wayne and would like to hear any input on his situation, but it will be hard to bench him after he came through in the semifinals.

My biggest dilemma is at running back. I have AP and consider him a must start. My RB2 options are a toss up, all with appealing match ups (on paper at least)-- not a bad problem to have I guess. Here are my options and thoughts pro/con. Standard Yahoo! scoring, no PPR.

Thomas Jones (@IND)
Upside: Indy's beaten up defense and the Jets rookie QB indicate a potentially big game for Jones.
Downside: Jets may be playing from behind and throwing a lot.

Beanie Wells (STL)
Upside: Last I heard, Wells is moving into a starting, featured back role. He's playing the Rams
Downside: Fumble prone, does he get relegated to the bench if he coughs it up? Potential time share still

Jerome Harrison (OAK)
Upside: Put up and an astounding 47 point performance last week as we all know by now. Appealing match up against Oakland
Downside: How much of a fluke was last week? He plays for the Browns. Oakland also only yielded 7 points to Moreno last week, leading me to...

Knowshon Moreno (@PHI)
-Probably the least appealing option.

I'm really struggling with the first three options and who to start as my RB2. Any input is appreciated as always. Thanks.

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Re: Ask the Scramble writers - Week 16!
by headcracker (not verified) :: Sat, 12/26/2009 - 4:03am

You must start T. Jones handsdown! Wells and Harrison look good on paper, but have dangerous downside. Either one could easily post a 4 or 5. Jones, however, has a well established track record going back through all of 2008. He will give you at least a 12, possibly more. How many of the Colts starters will be rested?

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Re: Ask the Scramble writers - Week 16!
by island girl :: Wed, 12/23/2009 - 10:04am

Happy Holidays Everybody!

I am dealing with a similar RB dilemma and a more serious issue at WR...trying to preserve my lead in a 16-team, points only, PPR league.

Due to injury to Jeremy Maclin, I'm starting a RB in the flex position. I have 3 RB spaces to fill and four players to choose from: Thomas Jones, Jamaal Charles, Jerome Harrison, and Knowshon Moreno.

I'm leaning towards Jones, Charles, and Harrison. The return of Derek Anderson as the Browns QB makes me think Harrison is a more appealing option; though Mangini's reluctance to actually stick with him is far from comforting.

My second, bigger issue, is at wideout: What to do with Pierre Garcon (WR3)?

Initially looked like a good matchup, with Wayne the likely recipient of Revis' affections. But the hand injury, combined with the uncertainty regarding Caldwell sitting the starters or only playing them for a portion of the game...I'm at a loss. Given the depth of my league, my only other option is Brian Hartline (on my bench), and lackluster free agent prospects including: Ted Ginn, Jr., Bryant Johnson, Chaz Schiliens, Kevin Curtis, and...well...... you get the idea.

Thoughts and advice are very much appreciated. Good luck to everyone else in their playoffs!!

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Re: Ask the Scramble writers - Week 16!
by headcracker (not verified) :: Sat, 12/26/2009 - 4:09am

Garcon is out. Your other options, being what they are, are a toss up. I likely play Ginn and cross my fingers.

Your thinking at RB is sound. Moreno against Philly is a little scary.

5
Re: Ask the Scramble writers - Week 16!
by mrapollinax :: Wed, 12/23/2009 - 5:01pm

Championship game. I've moved Reggie Wayne into my flex spot for now and I am torn between starting him there or rolling with Jacobs after a very disappointing outing against WAS. I've only benched Wayne once this year (bye week) and have rolled with my studs every week. But the ambiguity of how the Colts will handle this along with Revis make this a very scary start for a championship. My team is below in my sig.

QB Tom Brady; David Garrard*
RB Maurice Jones-Drew; Cedric Benson; Brandon Jacobs*;
WR Reggie Wayne; Wes Welker; Marques Colston; Antonio Bryant*; Roddy White*;
TE Dallas Clark*; Fred Davis*;
DEF Bengals*; Ravens*;

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Re: Ask the Scramble writers - Week 16!
by Tom Gower :: Thu, 12/24/2009 - 8:12pm

patriotsgirl and 49ers4tw, your questions are answered in this week's Scramble column. Ten Drink Drunk, island girl, and mrapollinax, your questions are answered in the Scramble comments.

If anybody else has questions, please post them in the comments to Scramble, as I will not be monitoring this thread.

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Re: Ask the Scramble writers - Week 16!
by bdclary (not verified) :: Sun, 12/27/2009 - 9:11am

I have three lineup changes I'm considering:

AP is a must-start at RB1, for RB2 should I roll with Pierre Thomas or Jerome Harrison? I have Harrison there now based on last week, but it seems that Oakland's defense has been better against the rush lately. I hear Reggie Bush may be nicked up, but there's the Mike Bell problem.

I have Reggie Wayne, but not much else. Behind him, it's either Berrian, Santana Moss, or Josh Morgan. I'm considering Morgan based on recent play and the opponent (DET).

Defense: IND vs NYJ or GB vs SEA. I'm considering GB due to the potential for IND to rest their starters, but I think the Jets' offense in pretty inept, while Seattle's offense has gone off occasion (and of course, the Packers' "performance" against PIT) last week.

Any advice would be greatly appreciated!

Thanks,
Brian

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Re: Ask the Scramble writers - Week 16!
by Ten Drink Drunk :: Sun, 12/27/2009 - 12:23pm

As a Hawks fan I would definitely start Green Bay defense. Seattle had many turn overs last week. At home. Against Tampa Bay. The Hawks don't travel well and I would be surprised if they put up any points at all today. Ugh.

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