Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

26 Aug 2012

Bottom of the bench RB - pure upside

2 RB start, 0.5 PPR.

I drafted Shane Vereen but this was without the knowledge of his ankle injury. I have the 2nd highest waiver priority, so I don't want to blow it just yet - I kind of want to see how the league shakes out.

But I would love to see if I could improve on Vereen here. On the wire are: Kevin Smith, CJ Spiller (I have F. Jax as my #1 RB), Ryan Williams, David Wilson (I have A. Bradshaw as my #3 RB), and Mikel LeShoure. Toby Gerhart is avail too.

Should I sit tight on Vereen and my #2 waiver priority, or go ahead and pick up one of these guys?

My RBs currently are: F Jax, Doug Martin, Bradshaw, P. Thomas, and Vereen.

Posted by: socctty on 26 Aug 2012

6 replies , Last at 04 Sep 2012, 12:06pm by bingo762

Re: Bottom of the bench RB - pure upside
by Ten Drink Drunk :: Sun, 08/26/2012 - 8:09pm

I would be tempted to grab David Wilson now since he is the handcuff for one of your RBs and everything I've heard suggests that he has the most upside out of the group you listed.

Re: Bottom of the bench RB - pure upside
by socctty :: Sun, 08/26/2012 - 8:57pm

Thanks for the reply. I feel that way about Wilson as well but I think there's a good case to be made for CJ Spiller:

- He's the backup to my RB #1
- My RB #1 is a 31 yr old (!) RB coming off of a broken leg
- Spiller showed the goods last year when in relief of Jackson

The case for Vereen is that he's a talented player who appeared to have a fairly good shot at the starting RB role for a high-powered offense, but now he's injured. Ryan Williams is similar except that it looks like he has a clearer path to the job with the caveat that his team may be the worst in the league.

Re: Bottom of the bench RB - pure upside
by socctty :: Sun, 08/26/2012 - 9:52pm

I've decided to pick up CJ Spiller after doing some reading, thinking, and...

The deciding factor was that FO's player page shows CJ Spiller's Most Similar Player for 2010-2011 was Brian Westbrook 2002-2003. Not that it's set in stone, but for comparison Westbrook went for 1500 yds from scrimmage and 9 TDs with 73 receptions in 2004. http://www.footballoutsiders.com/player/24309/cj-spiller

It's not far from a crapshoot, this stuff.

Re: Bottom of the bench RB - pure upside
by fantasy1123 :: Mon, 08/27/2012 - 3:19pm

I absolutely agree on grabbing D Wilson. He's the real deal and an absolute necessary handcuff to A Bradshaw. I think D Wilson will have stand alone fantasy value even if A Bradshaw does stay healthy which is a "Big If"....think when both Bradshaw and B Jacobs both had fantasy value and D Wilson is waaaay more talented. He is one injury away from being a top 10 RB in fantasy IMO. I also like R Williams over B Wells this year and think Williams has similar talent to D Wilson, just on a bad team.

Re: Bottom of the bench RB - pure upside
by J. Winn (not verified) :: Wed, 08/29/2012 - 12:17pm

I'm surprised most of the RBs you listed didn't get drafted. I don't think you can go wrong with Spiller or Wilson, but I would probably lean towards Spiller.

Re: Bottom of the bench RB - pure upside
by bingo762 :: Tue, 09/04/2012 - 12:06pm

What's the rest of your team like? If you're carrying an extra K, Def, TE, or QB I'd cut them and pick up those guys. I'd definitely cut Vereen and probably Pierre Thomas too.

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