Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

23 Aug 2012

Changing KUBIAK's Defensive Points Allowed Ranges

In 2 of my 4 leagues, the defensive scoring intervals are non-standard. The scoring levels are like 1-3, 4-7, 8-10, 11-14, 15-21, etc. If I adjust the scoring intervals in Kubiak, will it read the new scoring levels correctly?

Posted by: asm335@gmail.com on 23 Aug 2012

2 replies , Last at 23 Aug 2012, 9:04pm by Zac

1
Re: Changing KUBIAK's Defensive Points Allowed Ranges
by alien1rock :: Thu, 08/23/2012 - 5:49pm

No. The data is hard coded at certain point levels. My suggestion is to just get as close as you can within the existing framework. End result will be close enough, plus you aren't planning on spending more than $1 or a last round pick on a defense anyway, are you?

2
Re: Changing KUBIAK's Defensive Points Allowed Ranges
by Zac :: Thu, 08/23/2012 - 9:04pm

I've had a little luck with some modifications. They're not as easy as you might think asm335, but I will try to explain it.

I use PFR's Team Game Finder ( http://www.pro-football-reference.com/play-index/tgl_finder.cgi ) to find out how many teams had allowed between 1 and 6 points over the last, say, 4 seasons. I then found out how many games in which teams had allowed between 1 and 3 points, and between 4 and 6 points over the same time frame.

1 - 6 points: 88 games
1 - 3 points: 50 games (57% of all 1 - 6 games)
4 - 6 points: 38 games (43% of all 1 - 6 games)

So let's say your scoring system gives 10 points for the 1 - 3 scenario and 8 points for the 4 - 6 scenario. You would set the 1 - 6 category at (10*57%+8*43%), which is 9.14.

If this also sounds too complicated then just split the difference. Set your 1 - 6 points at the midway point between the 1 - 3 and 4 - 6 points. So if they were 10 and 8, then set it to 9.

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