Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

10 Sep 2010

Devin Hester vs. The World

Well, not quite, but close.

Here's my dilemma. I have a great matchup for Hester this week (DET), I just don't seem to have enough room for him in the starting lineup. Here's my projected starting lineup right now:

PPR, 10 points at 100+ yards rushing/receiving.

RB Rashard Mendenhall (ATL)
WR Greg Jennings (PHI)
WR Steve Smith (NYG) (CAR)
Flex Matt Forte (DET)
Flex Jerome Harrison (TB)

I REALLY don't want to sit Harrison or Forte, because they have fantastic matchups (as long as Suh doesn't just pulverize the Bears horrible o-line, but that would hurt Hester as well). Mendenhall has what looks to be a tough matchup, but I have a hard time bringing myself to sit my 1st round pick (on Week 1 no less) for a 7th round WR. Jennings I feel like needs to play, even though Asante Samuel is a very good CB. As for Steve Smith (NYG), I feel like he's gonna be steady money just like every other week this year.

So what would YOU do? Would you start Hester over one of these guys, or would you risk him blowing up on the bench and someone else disappointing.

Thanks.

Posted by: Key19 on 10 Sep 2010

1 reply , Last at 10 Sep 2010, 3:04am by Zheng

1
Re: Devin Hester vs. The World
by Zheng :: Fri, 09/10/2010 - 3:04am

Hester's matchup may be great, but he's in the middle of a Saints-like passing game where there are lots of passing yards to be had, you just don't know who's going to get them. As it is he's probably behind Knox and Forte at least, and the Bears' O-line is not the Saints' O-line, and Cutler is not Brees.

That said, I'm not real thrilled about Giant Steve Smith's matchup with last year's 5th-ranked pass defense, so if you were going to put Hester in, that's where. I think it'd be crazy; Smith is guaranteed to be involved in the passing game whereas Hester has no such guarantee. But if you're up against the guy who drafted an all-undroppable team and you need some explosive potential, Hester's your guy. Just don't be surprised when he doesn't, in fact, blow up for 150 yards and 2 TDs.

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