Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

24 Aug 2009

Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. Fool me thrice...

Let me first set the stage. I have drafted Steven Jackson in each of the past two seasons, only to end up very disappointed that I spent a top 10 pick on a RB whose value seems to always be unnaturally high due to his fantastic 2006 season. He also has been unable to finish an entire season since that fantastic 2006 year. I play in a league with very unique scoring. Not only do we give PPR, but we also give 100 yard rush/receiving bonuses (10 points for 100 yards of either). Let me just say that Jackson was the centerpiece of our 2006 League Champion's team (rushing for 1528 yards, 13 TDs, and catching 90 balls for 806 yards and 3 TDs will do that). All of that said, WRs are extremely valuable in our league. We have a roster setup of QB RB WR WR RB/WR RB/WR TE K DEF. If any team can get their hands on 4 legitimate WRs (easier said than done), they will likely be one of the best if not the best team in the league. As a result, we will probably have our first WR go at the #4 pick this season (because the guy at #4 is not in love with any RB that will be available).

I would love to get some of your guys' thoughts on Steven this season. I have KUBIAK, so I know what FO says. However, the pessimist inside of me sees a team who without Donnie Avery and Torry Holt has no passing game whatsoever, and Jackson will simply receive the Adrian Peterson treatment every game. Last time I checked, Jackson hasn't exactly been AP the last two years, so that would totally crush my season to watch him plod for 2 yards every carry. However, the optimist in me says that Jackson is the only back who will be left at #7 (aside from possibly Steve Slaton) who I could depend on to get me some 100 yard game bonuses (which are so crucial on our league).

So what do you guys think? Do I go with Jackson or do I go with a guy like Andre Johnson or Randy Moss? Thanks.

Posted by: Key19 on 24 Aug 2009

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