29 Sep 2009
Does anybody know of any literature or research done on the statistical effectiveness of running a fade route from inside the 5 yard line? I’m not referring to a back should kind of fade-stop, just a pure fade route.
I’ve been considerably struck by the notion that it seems to be low percentage play, or at least low enough percentage that a running play might be a better use of a down, even if it doesn’t end in a touchdown. This was emphasized again to me last night when the Cowboys ran two consecutive fade routes on second and third and goal from the 1 or 2 yard line.
I’m interested to hear any thoughts.