Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

07 Sep 2009

His Rivers and Gage for my Romo and Royal

I'm in a 14 team, PPR league with 3 WR and no flex, so WRs are pretty important (though QBs do get 6 points/TD). I unfortunately missed the draft and Yahoo autodrafted me a team that is definitely not catered to our league rules so I've been trying to make some trades.

I was just offered Philip Rivers and Justin Gage for Tony Romo and Eddie Royal. Even with Royal's recent significant upgrade, KUBIAK still thinks this deal comes out strongly in my favor since Rivers is predicted to do significantly better than Romo. Also, it looks like Brandon Marshall will play just fine for Denver so I'm not even sure Royal deserves his upgrade.

My only hesitation in doing this trade is that it leaves me pretty thin at WR. I'm currently in negotiations with some other teams to possibly grab some of the under-the-rader WRs (Hixon, Holt, Mason) but getting any of them is by no means guaranteed.

Any good reason why I shouldn't do this trade?

League: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, D, K.
Scoring: 1/20 passing, 6/passing TD, -3/INT, -1/sack, 1 PPR, otherwise standard

My team:
Romo, Shaun Hill
Frank Gore, Brandon Jacobs, Knowshon Moreno, James Davis
Anthony Gonzalez, Terrell Owens, Eddie Royal, Michael Jenkins, Muhsin Muhammad
Zach Miller, Marcedes Lewis
Vinatieri, Giants D

His team:
Rivers, Kyle Orton
Chris Johnson, Ronnie Brown, Jamal Lewis
Larry Fitzgerald, Santana Moss, Justin Gage, Kevin Curtis, Donnie Avery, Josh Morgan
Dustin Keller, Kellen Winslow
Ryan Longwell, Pittsburgh D

Posted by: Red Hedgehog on 07 Sep 2009

5 replies , Last at 08 Sep 2009, 8:45am by Snowglare

Re: His Rivers and Gage for my Romo and Royal
by schedule1 :: Mon, 09/07/2009 - 2:46pm

looks like a good move. i like avery more than gage, so you could consider countering that. i doubt he'd object.

Re: His Rivers and Gage for my Romo and Royal
by Dan :: Mon, 09/07/2009 - 9:47pm

I agree. It would be a great deal for you if you could get Avery instead of Gage, and it's probably worth doing as is.

Re: His Rivers and Gage for my Romo and Royal
by Brendan Scolari :: Mon, 09/07/2009 - 8:34pm

What's wrong with your team? The only weakness I see is that you have no WR depth but overall it looks pretty good. I'd keep your team as is unless a really good offer came along.

Re: His Rivers and Gage for my Romo and Royal
by Red Hedgehog :: Tue, 09/08/2009 - 2:36am

The WRs. Having good WRs (and depth at the position) is huge in my league since PPR + 3 WRs means that they score a good number of points. I share Kubiak's assessment that Terrell Owens won't amount to much this year. Last year, my team did well largely on the basis of having 3 elite and 2 solid WRs (Reggie Wayne, Marques Colston, Plaxico Burress and Laveranues Coles).

Good WRs are good.
by Snowglare :: Tue, 09/08/2009 - 8:45am

If you want to add WR depth - and you should - this trade doesn't help. I don't consider Rivers as big an upgrade over Romo as Gage is a downgrade compared to Royal. Avery, Morgan, Hixon, and Holt would all be preferable, though as a Gage owner in two leagues I'd love to be wrong. The thing is, I have him because no one values him.

You'd basically be throwing away a solid starter at a vital position for a debatable upgrade at a less important one.

On an unrelated note, I find it hilarious that James Davis (low floor, high ceiling) is your RB4, while Jamal Lewis (slowly falling through the floor) is his RB3.

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