Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

27 Aug 2012

How do I explain KUBIAK ratings to other people?

Just finished slow draft and I put together a spreadheet that had all of our picks total points on it and then summed them. I ran the risk included in fantasy projections and the guy that drafted Philip Rivers was irate (He's from Philly, go figure) that he was rated lower than Andy Dalton. I tried explaining it with some boiler plate answers but really, what contributes to that Red Risk rating?

Posted by: mrt1212 on 27 Aug 2012

3 replies , Last at 26 Sep 2012, 11:07am by AL

Re: How do I explain KUBIAK ratings to other people?
by krugerindustria... :: Thu, 08/30/2012 - 10:18am

step 1, draft using a good strategy and kubiak
step 2, with a little injury luck and a few good waiver wire pick-ups, win the pool and cash the cheque
step 3, explain nothing
step 4, rinse lather and repeat.

Re: How do I explain KUBIAK ratings to other people?
by Crushinator :: Thu, 08/30/2012 - 2:45pm

Red Rating seems to be whenever a player has major question marks, be they injury, new coaches, a hold out, a weirdly fluky year (I don't know offhand but I bet Jordy Nelson is red), or just no proven track record.

Rivers had a really uneven year last year, lost Vincent Jackson, doesn't have a good O-line, and doesn't have a strong history of passing attempts. Nobody knew what was wrong with him last year and his receivers are all huge question marks. His best receiver is a 30+ year old TE whose been injury prone and his starting RB has a broken collarbone, on a team that REALLY throws to its RBs.

I guess really, what's there to love about Rivers, aside from age and having done good but not great in the past?

All that said, there's not a huge reason to think he'll be outperformed by Dalton.

Re: How do I explain KUBIAK ratings to other people?
by AL (not verified) :: Wed, 09/26/2012 - 11:07am

This is looking like a great call by KUBIAK. In fact, I just picked up Andy Dalton in one of my leagues...to possibly supplant Rivers as my starting QB. Ugh. I should have listened.

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