Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

19 Aug 2011

Justin Forsett

I am curious as to what the rationale was for the projections for Forsett and Lynch. I can go into more detail if needed, but didn't want to call out the actual breakdown.

Posted by: naosu6 on 19 Aug 2011

5 replies , Last at 19 Aug 2011, 5:54pm by naosu6

1
Re: Justin Forsett
by tally :: Fri, 08/19/2011 - 4:02pm

What about the projection? It's more or less in line with their roles. Lynch and Forsett will have a similar number of touches, but Forsett will have more out of the passing game and those touches average a higher number of yards per play than rushes.

2
Re: Justin Forsett
by naosu6 :: Fri, 08/19/2011 - 4:12pm

It would not be my guess that the split will be the same as last year. My guess is that the split would be shifted even more to Lynch since he was only there for 12 games. Last year their breakdown was Lynch - 165 carries over 12 games and Forsett - 118 carries over 16 games. Kubiak assumes their totals will be the same, but that doesn't make sense if you take into the fact that Lynch wasn't there for the first 4 games of the year.

3
Re: Justin Forsett
by tally :: Fri, 08/19/2011 - 4:32pm

Or it could be that KUBIAK is giving Forsett a larger role this year because he averaged a yard more per carry than Lynch last year in Seattle.

4
Re: Justin Forsett
by Aaron Schatz :: Fri, 08/19/2011 - 5:07pm

I have now adjusted their roles to be more similar to last year, although I'm guessing we'll still have Lynch lower than others, and Forsett higher.

5
Re: Justin Forsett
by naosu6 :: Fri, 08/19/2011 - 5:54pm

Thanks Aaron. Really appreciate your responses on the board.

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