Re: kicker production : total offense

Is there an offensive statistic that more closely approximates a directly proportional relationship?

Re: kicker production : total offense

Looking at the 2009 data, there is a strong linear relationship, with a correlation r = .79, between the total number of points that a team scores in a season (PF) and the number of kicking points that they score (KPTS). The equation to estimate kicking points is KPTS = 46 + .18 x PF. If you want points per game instead of for the whole season, just divide by 16 (or use KPTS/g = 2.9 + .18 x PPG).

Bad teams get more field goals relative to touchdowns, which is why there's that 46 (or 2.9) that you add on.

Re: kicker production : total offense

Thank you, that's exactly the type of answer I was looking for.

Seems like a strong argument for generally going with the fantasy kicker on the team thats scoring the most. Maybe he won't produce the most points on any particular week but will most likely do so for the season.

Re: kicker production : total offense

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