25 Aug 2011
I understand that Kubiak does not project missed extra points due to their random nature. I agree that it tends not to affect the predictive abilities of DVOA, etc.
However, in a fantasy league where kickers are penalized for missed extra points, if kickers are not penalized, would that not slightly overrate them in comparison to other positions?
I'm thinking about going into the tables and reducing each kickers raw score by 2 extra points (-1 point for the miss and -1 for the opportunity cost of not making the xp). I don't think this will affect the kickers in relation to each other, but once the calculations are created, this should lower - slightly - their Dynamic Fantasy Points and FFPOB, slightly devaluing them in comparison with other positions.
Prior to doing this, 21 kickers are listed in the top 140 (10 teams, 14 rounds), and that fails the eyeball test.
Am I duplicating work that FO has already factored? Am I just splitting hairs? Thoughts?
1 reply , Last at 25 Aug 2011, 4:22pm by Zac