Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

27 Oct 2011

KUBIAK Hits and Misses

At the risk of asking this a bit too early (though it is about 1/2 way thru the fantasy season), what are the significant Hits (good calls) and Misses (bad calls) by the initial KUBIAK projections for 2011? And are the numbers of each consistent with that we see each year?

Just a few off the top of my head:
Hits - Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady; Adrian Peterson; Calvin Johnson, A.J. Green.

Misses - Philip Rivers, Cam Newton; Peyton Hillis, Rashard Mendenhall, Chris Johnson; Andre Johnson, Mike Williams; Antonio Gates; Steelers DEF.

Now admittedly everybody whiffed on a few of these (everyone had Cam too low and Chris Johnson too high), but Rivers and Hillis were much higher in KUBIAK than most other projections. I'd also note that in retrospect a Yellow risk rating for Gates seems incorrect, esp. when he was still dealing with foot issues in the preseason.

Feel free to add to, subtract from, or trash this list, thanks.

Posted by: jrbdmb on 27 Oct 2011

3 replies , Last at 05 Nov 2011, 2:37am by jabrch

Re: KUBIAK Hits and Misses
by tally :: Fri, 10/28/2011 - 11:10am

I think as you said the list should be pared down to hits and misses compared to the the general consensus--for instance, everyone had Peterson as a top 3 RB, so that's not a hit for KUBIAK.

Re: KUBIAK Hits and Misses
by Kyletoo (not verified) :: Fri, 10/28/2011 - 5:09pm

Kubiak was higher than most on Newton, that´s not a miss. Hillis, AJ, and Gates all are dealing with injuries, those aren´t misses either

Re: KUBIAK Hits and Misses
by jabrch :: Sat, 11/05/2011 - 2:37am

Hard to call Andre Johnson a miss either. He was a top 3 WR for everyone.

The biggest HIT for Kubiak was AJ Green. I drafted him twice.

The biggest MISS was probably McFadden. Kubiak had him VERY low. Shonn Green also - Kubiak had much higher than most - and he's been a turd. Rivers hasn't been good, and has cost me dearly in one league...but most would have had him in the top 5 in QBs - calling him a miss is a bit tough.

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