Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

07 Oct 2011

Mid-Season head-scratchers

In my league's scoring system (which is fairly standard though it ranks QBs higher than most scoring systems), the new KUBIAK update lists Bernard Scott as the 42nd overall player the rest of the way. This strikes me as odd. Is this purely from Benson's suspension?

Also, it ranks Cooley way ahead of Fred Davis which also seems weird.

Posted by: bird jam on 07 Oct 2011

2 replies , Last at 09 Oct 2011, 9:44am by hans

1
Re: Mid-Season head-scratchers
by Bishop :: Fri, 10/07/2011 - 10:51pm

I'm confused by Bernard Scott as well.

2
Re: Mid-Season head-scratchers
by hans :: Sun, 10/09/2011 - 9:44am

Remember that KUBIAK is a system, which quite complex is still relatively transparent. Cooley is ranked as such likely because of past success and that even though he seems to be playing second fiddle, Washington is running two tight end sets mostly so playing time limitations are not a factor. KUBIAK probably sees the prediction based on past performance and regression analysis, then sees that Cooley is getting the snaps to fill out that projection. It doesn't see the clear trend toward Fred Davis as the no.1 guy because it has only been four games where this is such and well, that doesn't really discount the previous some odd seasons where Cooley was the no.1 TE. I think if Washington wasn't running two TEs as much, we would have seen Cooley drop drastically in the ROS projections.

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