Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

24 Sep 2013

Midseason update?

Was just wondering if there will be a midseason update this year, and if so when it is coming out?

Posted by: super.mighty on 24 Sep 2013

5 replies , Last at 27 Sep 2013, 9:03pm by Sifter

1
Re: Midseason update?
by Sifter :: Tue, 09/24/2013 - 10:20pm

In this weeks DVOA rankings article, Aaron said the update would be out this week. Thurs night or Friday was his estimate.

2
Re: Midseason update?
by Aaron Schatz :: Thu, 09/26/2013 - 6:28pm

Friday morning.

3
Re: Midseason update?
by alien1rock :: Fri, 09/27/2013 - 2:58pm

Couple of big surprises in here.

What is up with Gio Bernard's projection? Was projected to get 4.2 yards per carry in preseason Kubiak, has 5.0 ypc through 3 games, but midseason Kubiak says 3.6 ypc the rest of the way? Function of schedule somehow? He was 27th RB in my presason Kubiak, has had a great first 3 games, and is now down to #39 RB in midseason Kubiak.

Edelman projected for 4 catches per game the rest of the way?

4
Re: Midseason update?
by mossman414 :: Fri, 09/27/2013 - 6:03pm

To clarify, these new projections are basically projections for the rest of the season? As in, if a draft were held today, this would be the rankings?

Seems a little extreme that a guy like DeMarco Murray, who I remember as being borderline even startable based on the pre-season Kubiak, is now a top 10 RB after just 3 games. And if I'm offered Matt Forte straight up for Adrian Peterson, I should accept that trade?

I'm guessing this must be the product of some extremely favorable/ unfavorable matchups the rest of the way. Interesting stuff. Trying to figure out a way to use these new rankings to my advantage. Thanks for the update.

5
Re: Midseason update?
by Sifter :: Fri, 09/27/2013 - 9:03pm

Seems a much larger disparity in playoff adjustments in this version. In my league Adrian Peterson is level with Lamar Miller if I take playoffs adjustments into account. Peterson is highly penalized, Miller the opposite. Has an error been made? I look at Daniel Thomas and Lamar Miller who have different playoff adjustment numbers, same for Pierre Thomas and Mark Ingram (just selecting random pairs here, haven't been through all). Surely they should be almost identical adjustments for each pair.