Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

15 Oct 2010

Moss or Moss?

I'm in a 10 team PPR league that starts 2 RBs, 2 WRs, and one flex. This week, I need to pick three of the following WRs:

R Wayne (@ WAS)
B Marshall (@ GB)
R Moss (DAL)
S Moss (IND)
H Ward (CLE)

Right now I've got them in that order, but I wonder whether S Moss (or maybe even Ward) is a better option than R Moss. I'm thinking that there's more downside risk this week with respect to R Moss (both given Favre's situation, and I think the Vikes felt a lot of pressure to make sure Randy got his against the Jets last week, even if he didn't really know the playbook, etc. I don't think that'll be as much of an emphasis this week against the Cowboys). H Ward gets Big Ben back this week, but I've also got Mendenhall, so I might not want to bank too much on the Steelers. Other than two weeks ago against the Eagles, S Moss has been pretty reliable. He's really the #1 of only 2 receiving options for the Redskins, who seem like they've at least started to develop a running game.

Am I missing anything?

If you're wondering, this is a league at my office with several people who are fantasy newcomers and drafted accordingly.

Posted by: s.diesel on 15 Oct 2010

3 replies , Last at 16 Oct 2010, 3:32pm by lang55

Re: Moss or Moss?
by lang55 :: Fri, 10/15/2010 - 3:42pm

Definitely start R. Wayne. Brandon Marshall gets the nod in a PPR league over R. Moss. Are you trying to decide which receiver to start at the flex over one of your RBs? I have S. Moss and appreciate him being a good solider for me this season during byes. But, I think you have to go with Randy. Peyton Manning at night is unstoppable. The Colts will be all over the Redskins. It might not be as bad as the Manning Bowl but most likely won't be much better. I also have H Ward and am trying to figure out what to do with him this week. For you, I think Randy is a better option. The only thing I would keep an eye out for is Brett Favre's drama-filled injury situation. If he doesn't play or goes out, Tavaris will not be able to get him the ball deep. In that case, I might go with Ward over S. Moss.

Re: Moss or Moss?
by s.diesel :: Sat, 10/16/2010 - 10:07am

I need to pick 3 WRs to cover my two WR slots and my flex. My RBs are set at Mendenhall and Foster. I have M Bush on my bench, but I feel like R Moss, S Moss, or H Ward would be better flex options with PPR.

I'm definitely starting Wayne and Marshall; just wondering who among R Moss, S Moss, and H Ward makes the most sense at flex. Normally, I'd go with R Moss without thinking about it, but I'm still a little nervous to see how the transition to the Vikes turns out.

Re: Moss or Moss?
by lang55 :: Sat, 10/16/2010 - 3:32pm

M Bush doesn't really catch passes but should be a beast this weekend against a porous SF run defense. McFadden shouldn't get many touches. You're more familiar with how his big game against SD stacks up in PPR vs. receivers. We've already seen one week of the R. Moss-Favre connection. It's going to be a lot of go routes, pretty much the same as it was in NE. He won't catch a lot of balls, however (<5). Of greater concern is Favre's elbow. If Tavaris comes in, Randy Moss will "just be doing wind sprints" according to one article I saw.

Big Ben may or may not even throw that much this week. It's hard to say. I think they will run with Mendenhall a lot, personally. You know McNabb will be looking at S Moss (as well as Cooley) 'cause that's all he has. Re my earlier comment about Manning at night, this game is a nighttime, nationally telecast home game for the Skins. Home teams in those situations normally perform well.

If you're looking stacked in this week's matchup, and just need solid production from your Flex, I might go with S Moss somehow. If you need to take a risk, go with Randy. Again, I think M Bush might be the safer play just because he should get a TD and at least 80 yds. But, I will defer to your PPR knowledge and the projections you're looking at in that scoring.

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