Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

09 Jan 2011

Percentage of successful plays on 3rd & 2 and shorter

So this season, I know that running the ball in 3rd or 4th and short situations gave you about a 60% chance of converting. But does anyone know what percentage of passes in these situations are successful? I know that it's supposed to be smarter to run in short yardage situations but just from what I've observed, I think that's changed in recent years. PA passes seem to be by far the most effective option.

Posted by: Niners on 09 Jan 2011

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