Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

04 Jan 2012

QB Efficiency = Tigerblood (WINNING)

This is a simple analysis. Take the QB Efficiency rating for each team and subtract the teams QB Efficiency Rating Allowed. Compare the difference in QB Efficiency (gained-allowed) to winning percentage. The result is a correlation coefficient of 0.86. Plotting the data gives a freaking straight line. Only Denver is a bit of an outlier - so having God on your team adds 1-2 wins.

In today's game: Yards mean very little. Rushing means very little. TD:Int ratio and Completion % rule the day.

Team: Rank QB Differential: Rank Win %
Green Bay 1 1
New Orleans 2 2
Houston 3 7
New England 4 2
Pittsburgh 5 5
San Francisco 6 2
Detroit 7 7
Baltimore 8 5
Dallas 9 13
NY Jets 10 13
Atlanta 11 7
NY Giants 12 10
Seattle 13 21
Miami 14 23
Tennessee 15 10
Oakland 16 13
San Diego 17 13
Cincinnati 18 10
Chicago 19 13
Kansas City 20 21
Philadelphia 21 13
Cleveland 22 28
Arizona 23 13
Buffalo 24 23
Carolina 25 23
Washington 26 26
St. Louis 27 31
Denver 28 13
Jacksonville 29 26
Tampa Bay 30 28
Indianapolis 31 31
Minnesota 32 30

Posted by: bradmerrill on 04 Jan 2012

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