KUBIAK is spitting out some truly massive fumble numbers for QBs. This may be worthy of a second look. Practically every QB - from Aaron Rodgers to Ryan Fitzpatrick - is projected to set a new career high in fumbles.
Posted by: Yaguar on 12 Jul 2012
4 replies , Last at
12 Jul 2012, 11:31am by
Aaron Schatz
4
Re: QB Fumbles
by nkowal :: Thu, 07/12/2012 - 2:37pm
I don't know the answer to this, but is "Fumbles" in the projections the number of fumbles or the number of fumbles lost? I assumed it was the former and then a percentage of fumble loss was applied to those, because predicting fumbles is a little bit easier than predicting fumbles lost.
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Re: QB Fumbles
I don't know the answer to this, but is "Fumbles" in the projections the number of fumbles or the number of fumbles lost? I assumed it was the former and then a percentage of fumble loss was applied to those, because predicting fumbles is a little bit easier than predicting fumbles lost.
Re: QB Fumbles
KUBIAK predicts fumbles, not fumbles lost. It assumes 50% of fumbles are lost.
Re: QB Fumbles
That's true, but also, you're right. They do seem high. I'll look at that and figure out what happened.
Re: QB Fumbles
OK, a new version is now up that fixes this.
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