Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

21 Sep 2010

Quarterbacks to target

Any opinions on starting Quarterbacks that are currently undervalued?

Since my starter (Kolb) just got benched and my backup (Garrard) is fairly... unconvincing, I need to trade for a legit QB. I've got good depth at WR and, essentially, 5 starting RBs in league with 1 flex spot, standard scoring.

Trade bait:
Bradshaw
Mathews
Foster
R. Brown

Desean Jackson
Welker
K. Walter
M. Williams (TB)
M. Wallace

Thanks a lot.

Posted by: Arjen.Robben on 21 Sep 2010

6 replies , Last at 22 Sep 2010, 10:50pm by Arjen.Robben

1
Re: Quarterbacks to target
by Copenhagen Bear :: Wed, 09/22/2010 - 2:34pm

Flacco is definently low now, wether he's legit is another matter... He has faced two hard defences so far, and should have better days coming. Other than that Romo migt be worth looking at, as the Boys seem to struggle running the ball.

2
Re: Quarterbacks to target
by Copenhagen Bear :: Wed, 09/22/2010 - 2:34pm

Flacco is definently low now, wether he's legit is another matter... He has faced two hard defences so far, and should have better days coming. Other than that Romo migt be worth looking at, as the Boys seem to struggle running the ball.

3
Re: Quarterbacks to target
by Arjen.Robben :: Wed, 09/22/2010 - 3:05pm

Is it worth dealing R. Brown and A. Bradshaw, a pair of really solid backs my league-mates desperately want, to pick up Manning/Schaub/Romo/Brady/Rodgers?

I would be left with Peterson, A. Foster, and Mathews. Are those my top 3 RB's? Is the marginal increase in value over Garrard worth it?

4
Re: Quarterbacks to target
by fengld83 :: Wed, 09/22/2010 - 7:21pm

According to Kubiak the marginal increase between Garrard and elite (Manning/Rodgers)is roughly 50 pts for the year. Kubiak has Garrard rated higher than most other projections I've seen, and based on Garrard's performance thus far, the difference is likely to be larger. Based on that, I think this deal is a no brainer if you are able to complete it. If you were able to complete it, I would make sure handcuff at least 1 or 2 of my starters in case of injury. (Gerhart, Slaton, Tolbert)

5
Re: Quarterbacks to target
by filterxg :: Wed, 09/22/2010 - 8:39pm

If you can swing a T1 QB for that I'd go for it. Don't forget Big Ben is coming back soon and might be available if the league mate has a good starter. My own experience is that you need to trade way too much for a T1 QB, and are much better off going for the best backup in the league (which might belong to the guy who ended up with Vick).

My own situation is I was hopeful one of either Kolb/Ryan/Cassell working out. Ryan is good enough that I don't feel rushed to make a deal, but I'm trying to work something out. Its a 12 person league, with pretty standard rules w/r to the QB. The guys I'm thinking about include McNabb, Roethlisberger, Flacco, and Orton.

6
Re: Quarterbacks to target
by Arjen.Robben :: Wed, 09/22/2010 - 10:50pm

Two potential backup targets are Roethlisberger (owner starts Rivers) and Eli Manning (owner starts Schaub). It doesn't seem obvious that the marginal increase in value from either of those backups is significant enough to offset the value from being able to select the best 2 of Mathews, Foster, Bradshaw, and Brown relative to their matchup on a week-by-week basis. I can afford to deal one but it's difficult to determine which player will have the worst fantasy season.

I think I am going to be patient and see how the situation in Philly works out. The market for RB's appears extremely speculative at present--I don't expect any of mine to drop significantly in value, and I've got Adrian Peterson locked in as my RB1. Alternatively, the market for QB's is relatively stable and known, so I can afford to sit on that at least.

Did FO do a Kubiak update last year in week 4? Did 4 weeks of new data help the projections significantly?

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