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07 Aug 2012
quick Red Zone question
wanted to get the definition of the "vs. Avg" column in the "Red Zone 2011" tab in this year's KUBIAK...
under "GOAL LINE RUNNING vs. AVERAGE" i see Marshawn Lynch having 13 attempts and 8 TDs with a "vs. Avg" of 3.7.
...not sure how to decipher, evaluate & compare to others. apologies if it's covered elsewhere, but sifted through the instructions page and googled to no avail.
tks for the assist.
2 replies , Last at 07 Aug 2012, 11:13am by ratay1
Re: quick Red Zone question
This means that Marshawn Lynch had 13 carries inside the FIVE yard line. On those 13 carries, you would expect a back to have 4.3 touchdowns, but Lynch had 8 touchdowns, a difference of 3.7.
We've found that very few backs have an advantage/disadvantage when it comes to goal-line running and having a "nose for the end zone." So you would expect this to regress towards the mean in 2012.
There are a few exceptions, usually related to the o-line rather than the back himself. (Hi, Matt Forte's linemen.)
Re: quick Red Zone question
tks aaron. appreciate the quick response.
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