08 Sep 2011
With the news that Manning has undergone surgery and will be out 2-3 months, what is the impact on Reggie Wayne's fantasy value (specifically, in a 0.5 PPR league)?
My initial reaction is that the offense as a whole will be significantly worse. The running game is not a viable alternative. The 2011 version of Wayne is primarily a possession receiver. He won't be targeted in the red zone nearly as much because the offense won't be in the red zone as much. I would cut Wayne's projected TD's in half. However, Kerry Collins will still look for him as the best receiving option in the offense. His targets might even go up slightly. He should maintain his total number of receptions, but it is possible that receptions for the other receiving options in the offense will take a hit, since Collins' is not as accurate as Manning. Do you think that he sees any kind of bonus in receptions from the fact that the defense will be terrible, the offense will be playing from behind, and Collins will be more likely to air it out?
All in all, I imagine Wayne's value just dropped from top 7 WR in PPR to upper-middle of the road WR2. Ouch. Between him and Santana Moss... I really wish Steve Johnson or Manningham had fallen to me. Anybody want to suggest a high-upside waiver wire guy?
2 replies , Last at 08 Sep 2011, 9:26pm by Zheng