Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

30 Aug 2013

Ronnie Hillman - Overrated by the Kubiak?

Hi,

I drafted Ronnie Hillman as my 4th RB due to the high score the KUBIAK gives him with my league's scoring settings (Nfl.com standard scoring - 12 teams). This puts him ahead of Vereen, Green-Ellis, Jacquizz, Bryce Brown, and Ben Tate among others.

Can anyone help shed light on why Hillman is regarded above some of these guys?

I was offered Bryce Brown for Ronnie Hillman from my league's Monte Ball owner, and my instinct is to take it (I don't own Ray Rice).,

Justin

Posted by: JustinGuild on 30 Aug 2013

8 replies , Last at 02 Sep 2013, 8:32pm by jrbdmb

1
Re: Ronnie Hillman - Overrated by the Kubiak?
by boone88rr :: Fri, 08/30/2013 - 12:28pm

Bryce Brown is McCoy's backup. Not Ray Rice's.

I think his split with Ball is more 50/50 than these others. Law Firm, Brown and Tate dont project much in the passing game. While Vereen and Quizz are more of the 3rd down back type.

2
Re: Ronnie Hillman - Overrated by the Kubiak?
by JustinGuild :: Fri, 08/30/2013 - 1:32pm

Sorry I mistyped. I was offered Bernard Pierce for Hillman.

You insight is appreciated. Maybe I should just see how this shakes out.

3
Re: Ronnie Hillman - Overrated by the Kubiak?
by nkowal :: Fri, 08/30/2013 - 2:39pm

Situation is up in the air, but Ball has some pass protection issues while Hillman has been fumbling recently.

I see it as a timeshare, which I think KUBIAK reflects. Don't go too high on him, but he might be serviceable, in my opinion.

4
Re: Ronnie Hillman - Overrated by the Kubiak?
by Sifter :: Fri, 08/30/2013 - 4:22pm

I've just happily picked Hillman up off the waiver wire in one of my leagues where RBs are fairly scarce (dropped after that fumble in preseason). I think he's being underrated by drafters generally. Montee Ball is always being drafted well before Hillman, but that is based on pure assumption. I read that Hillman gets more reps with the 1st team in practice than Ball. Drafters are just assuming Ball will eventually get the job, but everything I've read from John Fox implies they have no idea who'll start at RB. I think Ball is expected to be the goal-line option and that is skewing numbers his way. To me, Hillman really needs to be kept until the first couple of weeks of the season are done and we see more clearly how Denver's backfield shakes out eg. one good performance in a time share in week 1 could make Hillman the outright starter - you don't want to miss that. Worth gambling on keeping him IMHO. Brown really needs an injury to McCoy to be worth something.

5
Re: Ronnie Hillman - Overrated by the Kubiak?
by Zheng :: Fri, 08/30/2013 - 8:08pm

Certainly worth at least a late round flier. Hillman is the better blocker, and considering who he's blocking for, that is guaranteed to be a priority for the coaching staff.

6
Re: Ronnie Hillman - Overrated by the Kubiak?
by GBS :: Sun, 09/01/2013 - 2:00pm

Hillman was named the starter today. I hope you didn't trade him.

7
Re: Ronnie Hillman - Overrated by the Kubiak?
by jurassicxi :: Mon, 09/02/2013 - 5:17am

I drafted in a league last night where both Moreno and Montee Ball were drafted ahead of Hillman, who I picked up in the 9th round. Not bad for a starter, even if it is going to be an RB committee in Denver.

8
Re: Ronnie Hillman - Overrated by the Kubiak?
by jrbdmb :: Mon, 09/02/2013 - 8:32pm

Starts as a committee, but the conventional wisdom is still that Ball wins the starting jobs sooner or later. I see this as a buy low opportunity for Ball, or even better just avoid this mess entirely. (But I wouldn't drop Hillman if I already had him.)