17 Aug 2012
Hi everyone, as I've previously mentioned, this will be my first year using Kubiak. In an Auction Draft, my strategy in using the spreadsheet is obvious and straightforward. However, accounting for the human element in combination with the scarcity at specific positions, I'm struggling to put together a strategy for a standard Snake Draft.
This is my third year in this specific league, and I can easily predict that every RB with at least 50 FPoints Over Baseline (less than 10 RBs) will be taken in the first or second round. However, being a PPR league, there are almost 20 WRs of equal or more value in that period of time. I'm definitely picking too late in the draft to get a shot at the top 3 RBs... Is it a reasonable strategy to just make a run on WRs? Of the top 10 FPOB players in my specific scoring situation, I count 5 WRs, 3 RBs, and 1 QB. The 3 RBs and 1 QB will be picked by the time I get my shot, but the WRs are mostly 2nd and 3rd rounders for this group of people.
As a general rule, do you veteran Kubiak users think that I should just pick according to what Kubiak tells me to pick, regardless of the human element and scarcity of position? I theorize that that would be inefficient except in the most trade-happy leagues. If the human element and scarcity at position are taken into account, how should I gameplan? For example, should I pass on WRs with projected 145 FPOB just to snag the last running back with over 80 projected FPOB? Because of where I'm picking, I might actually be able to get the top 3 WRs (totaling almost 400 FPOB), but I would be stuck with the dregs for virtually every other position. Should I even consider taking a TE in the second round if I know he won't be there in the third?
In case you want more context: It's a 10 person PPR league with 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 WR/RB, 1 K, 1 DST, 6 bench. I'm drafting 7th.
Admittedly, I might be over-thinking this whole process. Many thanks in advance to anyone with wisdom to share.
13 replies , Last at 03 Sep 2012, 11:22am by nibiyabi