Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

17 Apr 2012

Still Another Quarterback Ranking Method

Experimenting with some new ideas, will very much appreciate comments/questions and especially some sense of whether the rankings/numbers are consistent with common sense.

Data base: all QBs who rushed or threw a pass from the 2002-2011 seasons.

Ranking system: basically a net productivity index. Fairly simple, includes following variables: passing yards, rushing yards, sack yards, lost fumbles, interceptions. What makes it different from some others is that there are no subjective weights assigned to any of these variables (the data sort themselves out), and basically all are referenced to 10-year averages. As you can guess, the system rewards net yardage and penalizes turnovers, which is why some high-producers might not appear below.

Top 10 for 2011 Season and Score (sorry that the tabs/spaces aren't carrying through):

Aaron Rodgers 180
Drew Brees 131
Tom Brady 129
Alex Smith 91
Matthew Stafford 85
Tony Romo 81
Matt Ryan 66
Matt Schaub 58
Eli Manning 52
Cam Newton 49

Top 20 for 2002-2011 Seasons, Year and Score:
Aaron Rodgers 2011 180
Tom Brady 2010 144
Drew Brees 2011 131
Tom Brady 2011 129
Tom Brady 2007 128
Peyton Manning 2006 126
Peyton Manning 2004 124
Aaron Rodgers 2009 121
Brett Favre 2009 116
Rich Gannon 2002 112
Peyton Manning 2003 109
Chad Pennington 2008 108
Daunte Culpepper 2004 105
Tony Romo 2009 100
Josh Freeman 2010 100
Jason Campbell 2008 100
Marc Bulger 2006 98
Philip Rivers 2009 97
Aaron Rodgers 2010 94
Michael Vick 2010 93

Posted by: BG_DRE on 17 Apr 2012

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