Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

06 Sep 2009

Week 1 WRs

So... here are my not-entirely-palatable choices. We score half a point for each catch, 1/20 for yards. Start two of:

D. Driver vs CHI
E. Bennett @ GB
D. Bowe @ BAL
S. Moss @ NYG
T. Ginn @ ATL

Thoughts?

Posted by: Sarkar on 06 Sep 2009

19 replies , Last at 13 Sep 2009, 11:42am by socctty

2
Re: Week 1 WRs
by Brendan Scolari :: Mon, 09/07/2009 - 2:32am

Man, that's a tough decision. Given Cassel's injury and Baltimore's defense I'm not sure you can go with Bowe.

I'll say Driver and Moss, but I'm not really sure who the best choice is.

1
Re: Week 1 WRs
by Sarkar :: Sun, 09/06/2009 - 10:58pm

Yeah, once I decided to sit Bowe this week, I pretty much settled on Driver. But Moss vs. Bennett is tough. Everything I've read suggests Bennett will be good, and the GB secondary is a decent matchup, but Moss is pretty much the only established option in Washington's air attack. Honestly, if I had another receiver in a home game, I'd just go with that one.

3
Re: Week 1 WRs
by Brendan Scolari :: Mon, 09/07/2009 - 2:34am

Yeah I could see Bennett having a decent game. I think it's more likely the Redskins fall behind though and Moss ends up with some really nice numbers. I think I'd pick him but that's just my opinion.

4
Re: Week 1 WRs
by Boston Dan :: Tue, 09/08/2009 - 12:07am

Starting three WRs this week in a non-ppr league. Who goes along with Larry Fitz amongst Vincent Jackson, Edwards, Ginn, Holt and Hixon? Jackson and/or Edwards or Ginn to narrow it down...

6
Re: Week 1 WRs
by Sarkar :: Tue, 09/08/2009 - 9:51am

I think your order tells it all. Go with Jackson and Edwards.

5
Skill
by Snowglare :: Tue, 09/08/2009 - 8:21am

I'd go with Bowe and Driver. At WR, talent is more important than matchup, especially in week 1, when we don't quite know which matchups are good or bad. I don't like Moss vs. NYG any better than Bowe vs. BAL, and Bowe's the better WR regardless of QB. He did pretty well without Cassel last year. It's a tossup between the two, but no way should you consider starting Bennett over either one. He might outplay them, but so might a WR chosen at random. Go with the proven talent.

7
Re: Skill
by Sarkar :: Tue, 09/08/2009 - 9:52am

I believe you are right. It is tempting to overanalyze WR matchups, but WRs are inherently fluky, and as you point out we don't know how much Baltimore will suffer from losing their DC and two starting defensive players to the Jets.

8
Re: Week 1 WRs
by Boston Dan :: Wed, 09/09/2009 - 11:25am

Thanks Sarkar and Skill.

9
Re: Week 1 WRs
by alsep73 :: Wed, 09/09/2009 - 1:57pm

Starting 3 WRs in a non-PPR league. Greg Jennings and Vincent Jackson are definites, but do I go with Devin Hester or DeSean Jackson as my third this week?

10
Re: Week 1 WRs
by JuridianSantaal... :: Wed, 09/09/2009 - 2:45pm

The Packers the last few years have been decent against #1 receivers, and Hester isn't going to be a goal line look. Still, he's the number 1 and the safer play. DeSean Jackson will get anywhere from 5-20 points in a given week because of the way the Eagles play.

I'm in a similar situation with choosing to start Hixon or DeSean Jackson. Any ideas anyone? (Standard scoring, no PPR, +4 points for TDs over 40 yards)

Also in another league (standard scoring, no PPR, no + points for long TDs), I have to choose between Bowe vs Baltimore or Ginn vs ATL. Thoughts?

11
Re: Week 1 WRs
by JasonK :: Wed, 09/09/2009 - 5:21pm

Hines Ward (TEN) or Donald Driver (CHI)?

12
Re: Week 1 WRs
by Sarkar :: Wed, 09/09/2009 - 5:27pm

I have to go with Driver there. Green Bay will air it out and Chicago's secondary isn't what it used to be. But that's a tough call.

13
Re: Week 1 WRs
by max :: Thu, 09/10/2009 - 11:44am

Mine is worse I think.

I have to start 3 from this list:

D Bowe
A Gonzolez
B Berrian
D Hixon
N Burleson

Any suggestions?

14
Easy call.
by Snowglare :: Sat, 09/12/2009 - 11:55am

Bowe, Gonzalez and Hixon. Berrian's questionable with a hamstring injury and Burleson's worthless.

15
Re: Week 1 WRs
by Ten Drink Drunk :: Sat, 09/12/2009 - 10:16pm

Percy Harvin is available as a FA in one of my leagues. I'm considering picking him up since Berrian questionable this week. I would have to drop my only bench WR (Tory Holt) to do it. Seems like a bit of a gamble, but I see a lot of potential upside with Harvin. I would probably leave him on the bench this week though. Any advice?

Standard Yahoo! scoring, no PPR.

19
Re: Week 1 WRs
by socctty :: Sun, 09/13/2009 - 11:42am

Given that there is no bonus for receptions, you're only worried about yardage. I think that improves Harvin's upside. He's going to get a few 4 reception, 85 yard, 1 TD games. I like Holt this year though (I have him); it probably depends on how set you are at other positions.

16
Re: Week 1 WRs
by e_rappap@bellso... :: Sun, 09/13/2009 - 10:00am

erapptor

I have 3 to start and I am starting ocho cinco, marques colston.

I am deciding among Lance Moore, Torry Holt and Roy Williams. My opponent is starting Romo.

Any comments?

17
Re: Week 1 WRs
by socctty :: Sun, 09/13/2009 - 11:37am

I've always liked Roy Williams more than other people have. I'd go with him

18
Re: Week 1 WRs
by socctty :: Sun, 09/13/2009 - 11:39am

I see a lot of people are posting their questions here also.

1 PPR. Starting Randy Moss, choose between these guys for WR2: Bowe, Anthony Gonzalez, Torry Holt, Eddie Royal, Devin Hester. ESPN is predicting 21 pts for Bowe and 10 pts for Gonzalez, but I think they're closer than that.

Login or register to post comments