Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

14 Oct 2009

Week 6 Sit/Starts, Add/Drops, and overreactions

So week six has me scratching my head over some moves to make/not make. Standard Yahoo! scoring, no PPR.

My current team:

QB: A. Rodgers, Garrard
RB: AP, Moreno, Julius Jones, Thomas Jones
WR: Reggie Wayne, V. Jackson, D. Mason, T. Holt
TE: Witten

1) I need a TE fill in for Witten (BYE). Some available TEs include: Heap, Shockey, Olsen, and Lee. Who should I grab here and more importantly who can I sacrifice. I feel like I need to hold on to Witten obviously. I'm leaning towards dropping Garrard.

2) I really want an upgrade at WR3. Some available WRs include: Maclin, Breaston, H. Nicks, Garcon, L. Coles, and M. Muhammad. What are your thoughts on Maclin moving forward? I know he started for Curtis (also a FA). Would Curtis be a better long term option? I would probably drop Holt at this point.

Thanks in advance for any advice.

Posted by: Ten Drink Drunk on 14 Oct 2009

9 replies , Last at 18 Oct 2009, 11:32am by dutchtreat

1
Re: Week 6 Sit/Starts, Add/Drops, and overreactions
by dutchtreat :: Wed, 10/14/2009 - 8:57pm

How many starters per position and teams in the league?

3
Re: Week 6 Sit/Starts, Add/Drops, and overreactions
by Ten Drink Drunk :: Thu, 10/15/2009 - 3:57am

Start 1 QB, 3 WR, 2 RB, TE, K, and DEF. 10 team league.

2
Re: Week 6 Sit/Starts, Add/Drops, and overreactions
by Zheng :: Wed, 10/14/2009 - 11:12pm

My understanding is that Curtis is toast. His knee is still bothering him and there are rumors he's going to be traded. Maclin seems to have more upside anyway; I certainly don't remember Curtis ever having a day like Maclin did on Sunday.

I'd hate to cut Garrard since Rodgers keeps getting drilled (I know he gets some of his line back this week but still). I'm not convinced Witten is irreplaceable. I might consider dropping Julius, actually. I'm a fan, but I'm getting tired of guessing whether he'll go off or go home every week.

4
Curtis? Big day? Nah...
by Snowglare :: Thu, 10/15/2009 - 3:58am

Curtis got on everyone's radar with a huge game back in '07. Week 3 vs. DET. 11 catches, 221 yards, 3 TD. He had several good weeks after that, including two 100-yard games, but only caught 3 TD the rest of the year.

Then he gets hurt in '08, only topping 70 yards once with 2 TD in half a season.

Longtime fantasy players might also remember Reggie Brown, an Eagles WR who had 3 catches in the first two games of '06, 2 going for TDs. That was followed by a 100-yard game, a so-so game, then three straight games with a TD and 77-121 yards. He finished with 8 TDs but was wildly inconsistent the rest of the year and hasn't been worth owning since.

I think Maclin's worth owning and starting now, but Eagles WRs haven't been consistent since McNabb entered the league. Yesterday's hero is today's hasbeen and forgotten tomorrow. That has to stop sometime, but McNabb spreads the ball around so much that it's hard to predict who'll look like a superstar any given week. As a rookie, Maclin's especially prone to streaks, and like Jackson last year, could fall off the face of the Earth in the last few weeks of the season.

5
On a more general note
by Snowglare :: Thu, 10/15/2009 - 4:09am

I wouldn't go near Coles or Curtis. I hate to not have a backup QB, but you can stand to cut Garrard and Holt.

I think Olsen's the best of those TEs, with Lee by far the worst; Finley figures to take his job before next year. Breaston and Nicks are decent pickups, but their value's somewhat limited. Maclin has questions, too, but he's the most likely to start now and for the rest of the year. I'd rank the WRs roughly in this order:

Maclin
Nicks
Breaston
Garcon
Muhammad

Muhammad's the safest bet to avoid 0s, but is unlikely to have more than a couple good games without the benefit of PPR. He's a poor man's Mason. Still, he's arguably better than Garcon, who has to compete with Collie and, eventually, Gonzalez (not to mention Wayne and Clark) for snaps and targets. Muhammad only has to get Delhomme to look away from Smith occasionally.

6
Re: Week 6 Sit/Starts, Add/Drops, and overreactions
by Red Hedgehog :: Fri, 10/16/2009 - 4:13pm

Heap is probably your best bet for TE. Lee wouldn't be bad, but Finley is challenging him for catches.

I think Maclin is probably the only one of those players worth having on you bench, but he is going to be feast or famine. I think he has a pretty good chance of getting you points this week (Eagles play Oakland and Asomugha will likely be covering Jackson), but many weeks will get you a 2. I'd drop Garrard or Holt for him. Since your QB hasn't had his bye yet, probably Holt.

7
Re: Week 6 Sit/Starts, Add/Drops, and overreactions
by Ten Drink Drunk :: Fri, 10/16/2009 - 8:22pm

Thanks for all the input everyone. I ended up dropping Garrard and Holt and picking up Shockey and Maclin.

Is there any way I start Thomas Jones (BUF) or Julius Jones (ARI) over Moreno (@SD) as my RB2 this week?

8
Re: Week 6 Sit/Starts, Add/Drops, and overreactions
by Zheng :: Fri, 10/16/2009 - 9:14pm

No. Well, maybe TJones. ARI has a strangely tough run D and scores so much that opponents have to abandon the run anyway. TJones has a great matchup but is splitting carries pretty evenly with Washington. Still, that's a blowout game that should end with a lot of garbage time runs. Buckhalter might be back this week but Moreno should still get 70% of the touches against a SD run defense that can't stop anyone.

Shockey is an exciting play this week. NYG is giving up a lot to TEs and I suspect Shockey might be a little bit more fired up than usual.

9
Re: Week 6 Sit/Starts, Add/Drops, and overreactions
by dutchtreat :: Sun, 10/18/2009 - 11:32am

Good. I'd go Maclin and Olsen (or Shockey) drop Garrard and start T Jones.

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