Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

30 Oct 2009

Week 8 QB start/sit decision - both funny and serious

First, I can't pick up another QB due to league rules. Second, I only have this backup due to a trade for a LB since both of mine got hurt week 1 (and I gave up Shawn Hill, so he wouldn't have helped anyway this week).

Do I start Tom Brady or JaMarcus Russell?

For anyone who may not have paid attention, this is NE's bye. It came close to costing me last week when I played Russell over Garrard due to bye (this same 2QB league). Do I gamble that he gets enough yardage to counter his turnovers, or go with the guaranteed non-negative?

(How bad does a QB have to be to warrant this question?)

Posted by: Marcumzilla on 30 Oct 2009

3 replies , Last at 30 Oct 2009, 7:48pm by tuluse

1
Re: Week 8 QB start/sit decision - both funny and serious
by Fontes of Wayne :: Fri, 10/30/2009 - 3:43pm

Yikes.
In answer to your second question, I'll say, he has to be just about as bad as JaMarcus Russell.
As for who to start: At least under my league's scoring system, Russell has only put up negatives against the New York teams, which both have top-10 pass Ds by DVOA. San Diego, despite its reputation, does not have a great pass D this season. They have been pretty good in points allowed to fantasy QBs, but that's a combination of a) lousy rush D and b) games against Russell, Cassell, and the Miami Chads. Long story short, the probability of Russell putting up a negative is slim. Start him.

2
Re: Week 8 QB start/sit decision - both funny and serious
by Zheng :: Fri, 10/30/2009 - 7:24pm

Russell has Zach Miller and it's San Diego, so Russell should be fine (where "fine" is defined as "posting a positive number") this week. Besides, Oakland got up for the last San Diego game, so they should show up for this one too... right?

3
Re: Week 8 QB start/sit decision - both funny and serious
by tuluse :: Fri, 10/30/2009 - 7:48pm

I'm going to say go with Russell. Fortune favors the brave, right?

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