Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

22 Jul 2011

WOO FOA2011

Glad it's here. Also happy to point out the first correction: Todd Bradford is Maryland's new coordinator on defense, not offense. I only know because he ran Southern Miss's defense into the ground last year.

YAY, this is just as good as the lockout ending today.

Posted by: trill on 22 Jul 2011

20 replies , Last at 23 Aug 2011, 9:54am by wanderdown

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Re: WOO FOA2011
by uclaeddie :: Wed, 08/03/2011 - 12:13am

I cant wait for the new FOA!!!! I am counting the seconds!!!

2
Re: WOO FOA2011
by rgwillie :: Thu, 08/11/2011 - 10:40am

Looking forward to the Almanac.

Any KUBIAK updates? Is it still on track for a release today?

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Re: WOO FOA2011
by R (not verified) :: Fri, 08/12/2011 - 1:52pm

Any word on the release date for the Almanac? My draft is coming up and I haven't done any homework!!!

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Re: WOO FOA2011
by cajasky :: Wed, 08/17/2011 - 10:14am

"fertile drafts" made me think, automaticaly, of Antonio Cromartie....

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Re: WOO FOA2011
by Tofino :: Fri, 08/19/2011 - 4:49pm

Hooray! Can't wait for the hard copy now. Last year's copy is dog-eared as all hell.

6
Re: WOO FOA2011
by Theo :: Fri, 08/19/2011 - 6:01pm

Seconded!
Hope I can order it from Amazon or the 2007 version I even got it from the dutch website bol.com
Whoo hoo can't wait.

7
Re: WOO FOA2011
by felden :: Fri, 08/19/2011 - 6:19pm

Hey, enjoying the book tremendously, but a quick question if anyone is more familiar with the book than I:

Is there anywhere in the book where the projected team DVOA for 2011 is listed? They reference it all the time in the predictions and everything, but I can't seem to find the numbers--do they save that for later, usually?

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Re: WOO FOA2011
by Theo :: Fri, 08/19/2011 - 6:48pm

DVOA is a number that looks back at the performance of someone - or a unit - and then calculates a number to value the performance.
(He did X and compared to Y and Z that means his number is A)
So it's per definition a number that looks back, not looks ahead.

10
Re: WOO FOA2011
by Sergio :: Fri, 08/19/2011 - 7:15pm

Wait, but they do actually project, right?

-- Go Phins!

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Re: WOO FOA2011
by Tom Gower :: Fri, 08/19/2011 - 7:20pm

Don't believe it's in the book. I checked my copy of FOA2010 and didn't see it in there, and doubt we added it to this year's edition. There's an internal version we used to guide us in writing the book, but the version used to generate the win projections is updated even from that.

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Re: WOO FOA2011
by Aaron Schatz :: Fri, 08/19/2011 - 8:16pm

We normally run projected DVOA ratings on the site in the days before the season begins.

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Re: WOO FOA2011
by Karl Cuba :: Sat, 08/20/2011 - 1:27pm

Why is there never a chart displaying projected wins for the league? It's irritating trying to find context for your figures and put them into context. Actually, league average figures would generally be more welcome.

Love the book though, NFC West projections are rather dismal but probably spot on.

8
Re: WOO FOA2011
by theslothook :: Fri, 08/19/2011 - 6:43pm

I as a colts fan am very sad and dejected after reading

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Re: WOO FOA2011
by chrismetz :: Sat, 08/20/2011 - 2:08pm

The Chiefs article has a lot of assuming in it with regards to Haley and their offensive style. It doesn't really suit you guys too well.

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Re: WOO FOA2011
by Athelas :: Sat, 08/20/2011 - 4:24pm

How long does it take to receive the download (I received the PayPal receipt already)?

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Re: WOO FOA2011
by Vincent Verhei :: Sat, 08/20/2011 - 6:33pm

You should see a big button on the left side of the page reading "MY FO DOWNLOADS." Click that.

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Re: WOO FOA2011
by DRohan :: Sat, 08/20/2011 - 11:04pm

What does everyone think of the Steelers projection? That's my team, but 13.0 wins? And 92% chance of 11+ wins? They're fortunate to play the NFC West, and the AFC South with the Colts primed for a decline. But it seems high from a probability standpoint. I'm crossing my fingers, but I don't know...

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Re: WOO FOA2011
by wanderdown (not verified) :: Tue, 08/23/2011 - 12:09am

I've been patiently awaiting the hard copy, as a wanted to purchase two books as birthday presents and .pdf files aren't particularly thrilling gifts. Is there any way to purchase the books from a bricks-and-mortar store or another online retailer where i won't have to wait (at minimum) nine days for the book to arrive?

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Re: WOO FOA2011
by Vincent Verhei :: Tue, 08/23/2011 - 2:30am

No. The hard copy books are print-to-order -- in other words, your individual copy of the book literally does not exist until you order it, and only then do they start printing.

If we were still selling the book in stores, this year, after the lockout, we'd be lucky to get them on shelves before Halloween.

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Re: WOO FOA2011
by wanderdown (not verified) :: Tue, 08/23/2011 - 9:54am

Thanks for letting me know!

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