Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

23 Sep 2010

Zach Miller and mid-to low-level TE replacements

I feel like I always overreact too early, but I targeted Zach Miller late in the draft with the idea that Jason Campbell would look for him alot and make him a higher mid-level TE this year. He's the only TE I took. So far my theory is looking pretty weak, and now Campbell isn't even the starter in Oakland. So should I look for other options? What's available is not too great, although Owen Daniels is sitting there and may start to get more involved as we go forward. I think Jermaine Gresham is out there. Mercedes Lewis is out there. Moeaki is there (never heard of him until two weaks ago). All, other than Daniels, have far outperformed Miller through two weeks. Is is it too early, or should I start thinking about replacing Miller with one of those guys?

Posted by: stowen on 23 Sep 2010

5 replies , Last at 24 Sep 2010, 11:40am by socctty

Re: Zach Miller and mid-to low-level TE replacements
by tally :: Thu, 09/23/2010 - 11:55am

It's a crapshoot at this point. I had the same problem and ditched Miller for Gonzo, who somebody had given up on. I say play matchups as you go.

Re: Zach Miller and mid-to low-level TE replacements
by Ten Drink Drunk :: Thu, 09/23/2010 - 1:20pm

What kind of matchups do you look for when choosing a TE? Bad pass Ds or defenses with strong outside corners so there will be more passes over the middle or check downs to the TE? I've always wondered about this.

Re: Zach Miller and mid-to low-level TE replacements
by tally :: Fri, 09/24/2010 - 1:27am

FO has DVOA splits vs. receiver, which should get more sample size as the season goes along.

Re: Zach Miller and mid-to low-level TE replacements
by lang55 :: Fri, 09/24/2010 - 2:25am

I also waited until late in the draft to take Z Miller. KUBIAK loved him as much as I did as an Oakland resident who's seen him make plays (especially last year against my Eagles). He's definitely disappointed me as well but has not been terrible so far. For example, he has more points than WItten, Celek, Gonzalez, H MIller, and Daniels. I'm going to give him one more week to see if Gradkowski gets him the ball and who is the starting QB in week 4. Campbell has looked terrible so far. If Miller puts up a stinker, though, I will take a look at Olsen, Carlson, Keller, Pettigrew, Heap, and Hernandez. Waiting a while longer will also let you see which of those guys does well and who just had one great week. Let's try to be patient and give Z Miller at least one more week.

Re: Zach Miller and mid-to low-level TE replacements
by socctty :: Fri, 09/24/2010 - 11:40am

I also have Miller, even though I put a high priority on snagging a TE this year. People in my league just seem to take them a year earlier every year. We actually had a guy take a TE in the first round this year, a new guy...

Anyway, Miller has been fine for me in my TE spot. He isn't a big name guy. Gradkowski isn't exactly Dan Marino, so I could see the Raiders maybe having the sense to have their inexperienced QB throw to his TE security blanket, who happens to be the Raiders' best receiver also.

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