Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

30 Oct 2007, 07:57pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 8 DVOA Ratings

The Patriots have officially slipped the bonds of reality, the first team ever to have a DVOA over 70% later than Week 5. The Colts are the best team of the past dozen years other than the Patriots. Maybe the hype is warranted this time? Plus: San Diego returns to the top five and Tennessee's defense widens its lead.

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201 comments, Last at 02 Nov 2007, 12:18am by Nat

23 Oct 2007, 05:32pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 7 DVOA Ratings

Once again, the Patriots and Colts are 1-2 in this week's DVOA ratings, and they are closer than you might think. In fact, the difference between them comes down to one unit: special teams -- and, in particular, one very ironic position. And speaking of special teams, what is Seattle doing at number one?

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180 comments, Last at 29 Oct 2007, 4:31am by Scott

16 Oct 2007, 02:02pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 6 DVOA Ratings

This week: The top six stay the same, San Diego and Carolina jump forward, and the NFC East rules while the NFC West is lousy again. We also continue to track where the Pats and Colts stand in the race for "best DVOA ever."

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212 comments, Last at 22 Oct 2007, 1:57pm by Andrew

09 Oct 2007, 03:50pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 5 DVOA Ratings

The historic dominance of the Colts and Patriots continues, but two 53-yard field goals can't keep the Cowboys from falling off the pace -- and into fourth place behind Pittsburgh.

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195 comments, Last at 13 Oct 2007, 4:43pm by Alex

02 Oct 2007, 04:32pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 4 DVOA Ratings

New England blows away the league with the greatest start of the DVOA Era. Dallas and Indianapolis are right behind, and... wait... is that Arizona in the top ten? Oh, will the wonders of DVOA ever cease?

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220 comments, Last at 07 Oct 2007, 11:53pm by Alex

25 Sep 2007, 02:56pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 3 DVOA Ratings

Hey, remember when the projection system said that Tampa Bay would win the NFC South and New Orleans was a one-year wonder? Remember how we all assumed the numbers were incorrect? Whoops. Plus: Historic starts in New England, Pittsburgh, and Dallas.

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166 comments, Last at 28 Sep 2007, 11:15am by podpeople

18 Sep 2007, 01:56pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 2 DVOA Ratings

New England and Pittsburgh reign supreme, while last year's two miracle teams sit at the bottom. This week's (very extended) commentary looks at past teams who defied their projections early, to find out what history says about hope in Houston and pessimism in Philadelphia. Note: DEN, OAK, PHI, WAS now fixed.

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155 comments, Last at 22 Sep 2007, 12:57pm by Starshatterer

11 Sep 2007, 01:34pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 1 DVOA Ratings

You love them when your team is high! You hate them when your team is low! Celebrate National Jump to Conclusions Week with the first DVOA and DAVE ratings for 2007.

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99 comments, Last at 14 Sep 2007, 3:39pm by Nate

05 Sep 2007, 06:46pm by Aaron Schatz

2007 DVOA Projections

Here are the 2007 DVOA projections, including 10,000 simulations of the 2007 season to give each team's chances of making the playoffs or winning the division. Learn which teams have seen their projections change since the book, why some teams have projections that differ from conventional wisdom, and how much it will cost to see DVOA this year. (Hint: It is still free.)

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171 comments, Last at 27 Sep 2007, 12:51pm by Joe

16 Jul 2007, 12:54pm by Doug Farrar

Divisional DVOA

The dark underbelly of the divisional system in sports is that weak-sister teams like the 2006 Seahawks automatically get into the playoffs because they win even weaker divisions. Was last year's NFC West the weakest division in recent history? Doug Farrar dives into a dozen years of DVOA to find out.

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46 comments, Last at 09 Oct 2008, 1:50pm by Joshua