Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

19 Sep 2006, 05:20pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 3 DVOA Ratings

Two games played, two sets of DVOA ratings. One represents 2006 only, while the other is our new rating that combines 2006 with the preseason projection. Baltimore rules the roost in one, Seattle in the other. Freedom of choice is what you want, freedom of choice is what you've got. UPDATE: Commentary is now found here on FOXSports.com.

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227 comments, Last at 23 Sep 2006, 3:39pm by Chuck

12 Sep 2006, 10:32pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 2 DVOA Ratings

The most accurate rating in the NFL returns for 2006 with a new wrinkle: an early-season rating that combines preseason projections with early results to get a more accurate look at team strengths. UPDATE: Commentary is now found here on FOXSports.com.

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112 comments, Last at 21 Sep 2006, 7:39pm by Smartmonies

07 Sep 2006, 12:56am by Aaron Schatz

2006 DVOA Projections

Here are the 2006 DVOA projections, including 5,000 simulations of the 2006 season to give each team's chances of making the playoffs or winning the division.

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138 comments, Last at 19 Sep 2006, 5:13pm by John Morgan

17 Jan 2006, 08:45pm by Aaron Schatz

Playoff Power Rankings II

This year, we’re keeping track of DVOA into the playoffs as we continue to produce power rankings for FOXSports.com. Here’s a look at 19 weeks worth of play-by-play, plus DVOA for each game in the second round of the playoffs. You'll find further commentary here at FOXSports.com.

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121 comments, Last at 07 Feb 2006, 6:26pm by mike

10 Jan 2006, 10:51pm by Aaron Schatz

Playoff Power Rankings

For the first time, we're keeping track of DVOA into the playoffs as we continue to produce power rankings for FOXSports.com. Here's a look at 18 weeks worth of play-by-play, plus DVOA for each game in the first round of the playoffs and similarity scores for Eli Manning and Chris Simms. Further commentary is here at FOXSports.com.

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183 comments, Last at 18 Jan 2006, 2:24am by Christian X

03 Jan 2006, 07:03pm by Aaron Schatz

Final 2005 DVOA Ratings

Indianapolis ranks as the top team of 2005 according to the final Football Outsiders DVOA ratings, by the slimmest of margins over the Denver Broncos. Kansas City moves all the way up to third, something they can look back on with pride as they set their January tee times. The fact that the Chiefs moved ahead of the Seahawks should be a clue as to the major problem explored in this week's commentary on FOXSports.com. Hint: Do you know the names Seneca Wallace and Bam Childress?

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104 comments, Last at 11 Jan 2006, 1:04pm by Sid

27 Dec 2005, 06:22pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 17 DVOA Ratings

Here are the latest DVOA ratings through Week 16, with Seattle, Pittsburgh, Washington, and Kansas City all getting hot just in time for the playoffs. Too bad the Chiefs won't actually be there. Commentary for the math-o-phobic on FOXSports.com here. Wed noon: Incorrect values on original tables are now fixed.

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265 comments, Last at 31 Dec 2005, 5:20pm by putnamp

20 Dec 2005, 07:42pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 16 DVOA Ratings

The Colts stay on top, the Giants move past the Seahawks, the Patriots move up six spots, which won't do anything to appease the Brady-lovin' masses, and the Raiders are inexplicably high, guaranteeing that my e-mail box is totally screwed. Plus a huge discussion of home-field advantage and what happens to great defenses the year afterwards in the commentary for the math-o-phobic, found here on FOXSports.com.

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313 comments, Last at 25 Dec 2005, 1:51pm by admin

13 Dec 2005, 09:10pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 15 DVOA Ratings

The ratings get shuffled after a week of upsets and near-upsets, as the Raiders plunge, the Vikings rise, and the Seahawks move back into the top five. Lots of good stuff in the infamous commentary for the math-o-phobic found here on FOXSports.com including a list of the best and worst games of the year according to DVOA.

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181 comments, Last at 19 Dec 2005, 3:01pm by DGL

06 Dec 2005, 06:56pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 14 DVOA Ratings

This week, the top five in the FOXSports.com Power Rankings stay the same, with Seattle shooting up to number six. Extended commentary for the math-o-phobic on FOXSports.com includes a quiz that should shed some light on this year's wacky strength of schedule situation and a long discussion of the Green Bay Packers, unluckiest team of all time. Full DVOA numbers and discussion lies herein.

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257 comments, Last at 12 Dec 2005, 9:46pm by Bencoder