Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

10 Oct 2006, 03:29pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 6 DVOA Ratings

If Rex Grossman played da Packers by himself, how many points would he win by? If Brian Urlacher was battling a hurricane, who would win? What if da name of da hurricane was "Hurricane Ditka?" Plus: Am I having another heart attack? These are da questions we must ask after looking at da latest DVOA ratings. Commentary found here on FOXSports.com.

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351 comments, Last at 02 Jan 2007, 11:47pm by Jeff

03 Oct 2006, 08:56pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 5 DVOA Ratings

Chicago and San Diego are atop the league, both in DVOA for 2006 and the early-season DAVE formula. Also leaping up this week: Kansas City, Dallas, and Washington. UPDATE: Commentary now available on FOXSports.com.

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239 comments, Last at 07 Oct 2006, 5:42pm by Mike

26 Sep 2006, 09:22pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 4 DVOA Ratings

Idle San Diego takes the top spot this week. The Saints move way up after stomping the Falcons, but our new system that combines early results with preseason projection is still somewhat skeptical. It's Dave's fault, really. UPDATE: Commentary is finally available on FOXSports.com.

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186 comments, Last at 29 Sep 2006, 2:30pm by DavidH

19 Sep 2006, 05:20pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 3 DVOA Ratings

Two games played, two sets of DVOA ratings. One represents 2006 only, while the other is our new rating that combines 2006 with the preseason projection. Baltimore rules the roost in one, Seattle in the other. Freedom of choice is what you want, freedom of choice is what you've got. UPDATE: Commentary is now found here on FOXSports.com.

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227 comments, Last at 23 Sep 2006, 3:39pm by Chuck

12 Sep 2006, 10:32pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 2 DVOA Ratings

The most accurate rating in the NFL returns for 2006 with a new wrinkle: an early-season rating that combines preseason projections with early results to get a more accurate look at team strengths. UPDATE: Commentary is now found here on FOXSports.com.

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112 comments, Last at 21 Sep 2006, 7:39pm by Smartmonies

07 Sep 2006, 12:56am by Aaron Schatz

2006 DVOA Projections

Here are the 2006 DVOA projections, including 5,000 simulations of the 2006 season to give each team's chances of making the playoffs or winning the division.

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138 comments, Last at 19 Sep 2006, 5:13pm by John Morgan

17 Jan 2006, 08:45pm by Aaron Schatz

Playoff Power Rankings II

This year, we’re keeping track of DVOA into the playoffs as we continue to produce power rankings for FOXSports.com. Here’s a look at 19 weeks worth of play-by-play, plus DVOA for each game in the second round of the playoffs. You'll find further commentary here at FOXSports.com.

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121 comments, Last at 07 Feb 2006, 6:26pm by mike

10 Jan 2006, 10:51pm by Aaron Schatz

Playoff Power Rankings

For the first time, we're keeping track of DVOA into the playoffs as we continue to produce power rankings for FOXSports.com. Here's a look at 18 weeks worth of play-by-play, plus DVOA for each game in the first round of the playoffs and similarity scores for Eli Manning and Chris Simms. Further commentary is here at FOXSports.com.

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183 comments, Last at 18 Jan 2006, 2:24am by Christian X

03 Jan 2006, 07:03pm by Aaron Schatz

Final 2005 DVOA Ratings

Indianapolis ranks as the top team of 2005 according to the final Football Outsiders DVOA ratings, by the slimmest of margins over the Denver Broncos. Kansas City moves all the way up to third, something they can look back on with pride as they set their January tee times. The fact that the Chiefs moved ahead of the Seahawks should be a clue as to the major problem explored in this week's commentary on FOXSports.com. Hint: Do you know the names Seneca Wallace and Bam Childress?

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104 comments, Last at 11 Jan 2006, 1:04pm by Sid

27 Dec 2005, 06:22pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 17 DVOA Ratings

Here are the latest DVOA ratings through Week 16, with Seattle, Pittsburgh, Washington, and Kansas City all getting hot just in time for the playoffs. Too bad the Chiefs won't actually be there. Commentary for the math-o-phobic on FOXSports.com here. Wed noon: Incorrect values on original tables are now fixed.

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265 comments, Last at 31 Dec 2005, 5:20pm by putnamp