Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

11 Oct 2005, 06:20pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 6 DVOA Ratings

Dallas and Seattle move up, Philadelphia and Denver drop, and Cincinnati narrowly remains number one despite a loss. Here are the latest DVOA ratings, with ... Wait a minute, did you say Denver dropped? Didn't they win their fourth straight game? What the hell? All is explained in my infamous commentary for the math-o-phobic featured on FOXSports.com.

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86 comments, Last at 21 Oct 2005, 12:59am by "Andrew"

04 Oct 2005, 11:32pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 5 DVOA Ratings

The Giants are up, the Bills are down, and with a big win, Atlanta's rating finally matches its record. Here are the latest DVOA ratings, with commentary for the math-o-phobic featured on FOXSports.com.

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71 comments, Last at 07 Oct 2005, 10:22pm by Jon

27 Sep 2005, 05:48pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 4 DVOA Ratings

It's the season debut of those famous Football Outsiders DVOA ratings, with the Cincinnati Bengals on top. No, that is not a misprint. If you want the infamous commentary for the math-o-phobic, it now resides at FOXSports.com.

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62 comments, Last at 03 Oct 2005, 4:21pm by Freddie Falcon

24 Sep 2005, 01:36pm by Aaron Schatz

1999 DVOA Ratings and Commentary

I was dreaming when I wrote this, so sue me if it goes astray. But when I woke up this morning, I realized this piece was really late. The sky was full of footballs, Marshall Faulk was running everywhere. Since the Titans play the Rams this week, I know you might really care. Two thousand-zero-zero? Party's over, now it's 2005. But tonight we've got DVOA from 1999. (cue guitar solo)

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23 comments, Last at 26 Sep 2005, 9:56pm by Ryan Carney

06 Sep 2005, 10:44am by Aaron Schatz

2005 DVOA Projections

Long awaited, never duplicated, here are the 2005 Football Outsiders DVOA projections based on complicated formulas that take into account everything from red zone performance to recent drafts to tenure of coordinators. If they prove accurate, look out for the Carolina Panthers, the Cincinnati Bengals, and -- yes, yet again the numbers love them -- the Tampa Bay Bucs.

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130 comments, Last at 05 Oct 2005, 3:38pm by james

25 Jul 2005, 04:52pm by Aaron Schatz

1998 DVOA Ratings and Commentary

Usually at FO we write about the football of today, but we're also busy going through old play-by-play so we can apply our metrics to past seasons and learn more about why teams win and lose. Return with us to that bygone era when the NFL was a tiny league of just 30 teams, when Hall of Famers like Elway, Young, and Emmitt still dominated while Peyton Manning and Tony Gonzalez were but wee lads. Learn why the record-setting Vikings didn't even have the best offense of 1998, and why the 1999 Rams may not have been such a surprise after all. Hint: It ties in with the San Diego chapter of Pro Football Prospectus 2005.

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87 comments, Last at 03 Aug 2005, 9:54pm by Björn

04 Feb 2005, 01:43am by Aaron Schatz

Super Bowl XXXIX Preview

The New England Patriots have shut down the unstoppable Colts and walked all over the impenetrable Steelers. Now the Philadelphia Eagles will attempt to stand astride their march towards history, yelling "Stop." With help from Michael David Smith’s tape analysis, added notes from resident Eagles fan Mike Tanier, injury analysis from Will Carroll of Baseball Prospectus, and our Football Outsiders statistics, Aaron previews Super Bowl XXXIX.

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01 Feb 2005, 01:00pm by Aaron Schatz

VOA Mailbag

It's time for another edition of our mailbag, where Aaron answers your questions related to VOA and other statistics from Football Outsiders. This week: Does DVOA give any value to blocking? Why were defense-oriented teams so bad this year compared to years past? Which correlates better with a team's actual record: Pythagorean wins or estimated wins? Plus, DVOA for every game of the 2004 playoffs.

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8 comments, Last at 27 Mar 2007, 7:27am by victory toyota plymouth

21 Jan 2005, 05:34pm by Aaron Schatz

AFC Conference Championship Preview

Very simple: The two best, most balanced teams in football this year, and only one gets to go to the Super Bowl. With help from Michael David Smith's tape analysis, added notes from resident Steelers fan Ryan Wilson, and our Football Outsiders statistics, Aaron previews the AFC conference championship.

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21 Jan 2005, 01:26pm by Aaron Schatz

NFC Conference Championship Preview

Philadelphia dominated the NFC all season. Last week they showed that they can still score points without Terrell Owens in the lineup. Now the only eight feet stand between the Eagles and a long-awaited trip to the Super Bowl: the two feet of Michael Vick, the two feet of Warrick Dunn, the two feet of T.J. Duckett, and the two feet of snow that might be falling on Philadelphia Saturday night. With help from Michael David Smith’s tape analysis and our Football Outsiders statistics, Aaron previews the NFC conference championship.

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