Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

01 Nov 2005, 05:14pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 9 DVOA Ratings

Sound the trumpets across the Rocky Mountains: Denver has moved into the top ten in DVOA. (Also, sound the car horns across Manhattan, because the Giants are number three.) Plus a mea culpa for our Atlanta projection and some back-patting for our Green Bay projection in the infamous commentary for the math-o-phobic, now posted here on FOXSports.com.

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187 comments, Last at 18 Oct 2006, 5:10pm by Jerry

25 Oct 2005, 05:26pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 8 DVOA Ratings

If the Steelers beat the Bengals so easily, why are they still behind the Bengals in DVOA? Blame Tommy Maddox. Also this week: Colts move to the top, Washington and Kansas City climb, Atlanta wins and falls anyway, San Francisco continues its record DVOA pace, and we ask the musical question, "Are we not men?" All that in the infamous commentary for the math-o-phobic, now found on FOXSports.com.

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173 comments, Last at 01 Nov 2005, 1:55pm by james

18 Oct 2005, 04:25pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 7 DVOA Ratings

Here are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings through six weeks. New England and Philadelphia move down. Jacksonville, Dallas, and Miami move up. Miami? That's explained as part of the famous commentary for the math-o-phobic available at FOXSports.com. Also, the latest info on that hot series from DC Comics, Infinite Crisis: The 2005 Minnesota Vikings.

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210 comments, Last at 17 Dec 2005, 9:43pm by Bonnie Smith

14 Oct 2005, 05:40pm by Guest

The Evolving Predictive Powers of DVOA

DVOA is emphatically not about gambling. But if it happens to work for gambling, who are we to keep that knowledge from you? Guest columnist Sean McCormick provides an eye-opening analysis of the success of DVOA when betting the line over the past two seasons.

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135 comments, Last at 10 Nov 2005, 10:01pm by TBW

11 Oct 2005, 06:20pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 6 DVOA Ratings

Dallas and Seattle move up, Philadelphia and Denver drop, and Cincinnati narrowly remains number one despite a loss. Here are the latest DVOA ratings, with ... Wait a minute, did you say Denver dropped? Didn't they win their fourth straight game? What the hell? All is explained in my infamous commentary for the math-o-phobic featured on FOXSports.com.

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86 comments, Last at 21 Oct 2005, 12:59am by "Andrew"

04 Oct 2005, 11:32pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 5 DVOA Ratings

The Giants are up, the Bills are down, and with a big win, Atlanta's rating finally matches its record. Here are the latest DVOA ratings, with commentary for the math-o-phobic featured on FOXSports.com.

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71 comments, Last at 07 Oct 2005, 10:22pm by Jon

27 Sep 2005, 05:48pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 4 DVOA Ratings

It's the season debut of those famous Football Outsiders DVOA ratings, with the Cincinnati Bengals on top. No, that is not a misprint. If you want the infamous commentary for the math-o-phobic, it now resides at FOXSports.com.

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62 comments, Last at 03 Oct 2005, 4:21pm by Freddie Falcon

24 Sep 2005, 01:36pm by Aaron Schatz

1999 DVOA Ratings and Commentary

I was dreaming when I wrote this, so sue me if it goes astray. But when I woke up this morning, I realized this piece was really late. The sky was full of footballs, Marshall Faulk was running everywhere. Since the Titans play the Rams this week, I know you might really care. Two thousand-zero-zero? Party's over, now it's 2005. But tonight we've got DVOA from 1999. (cue guitar solo)

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23 comments, Last at 26 Sep 2005, 9:56pm by Ryan Carney

06 Sep 2005, 10:44am by Aaron Schatz

2005 DVOA Projections

Long awaited, never duplicated, here are the 2005 Football Outsiders DVOA projections based on complicated formulas that take into account everything from red zone performance to recent drafts to tenure of coordinators. If they prove accurate, look out for the Carolina Panthers, the Cincinnati Bengals, and -- yes, yet again the numbers love them -- the Tampa Bay Bucs.

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130 comments, Last at 05 Oct 2005, 3:38pm by james

25 Jul 2005, 04:52pm by Aaron Schatz

1998 DVOA Ratings and Commentary

Usually at FO we write about the football of today, but we're also busy going through old play-by-play so we can apply our metrics to past seasons and learn more about why teams win and lose. Return with us to that bygone era when the NFL was a tiny league of just 30 teams, when Hall of Famers like Elway, Young, and Emmitt still dominated while Peyton Manning and Tony Gonzalez were but wee lads. Learn why the record-setting Vikings didn't even have the best offense of 1998, and why the 1999 Rams may not have been such a surprise after all. Hint: It ties in with the San Diego chapter of Pro Football Prospectus 2005.

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87 comments, Last at 03 Aug 2005, 9:54pm by Björn